Murong Xin:4.10原油晚间最新行情走势分析、操作策略及中长线布局

Murong Xin:4.10crude oil晚间最新行情走势分析、操作策略及中长线布局

　　对冲基金和基金经理持有的纽商所美油、ICE布油和ICE美油这三大原油futures合约净多仓几乎一直维持在10亿桶上方　
　
　　市场对原油的唱多声势并非空穴来风，当前油市的确存在一系列顺风因素。转眼间4月已至，夏季原油需求高峰期正在迫近；随着博尔顿接棒美国国家安全顾问一职，伊核协议破裂的风险陡增；委内瑞拉的原油产量正在慢慢地被蚕食；沙特和俄罗斯坚定不移地执行减产协议......
　　在多重利好因素的施压下，空头大军正在远离油市，多头阵营不断壮大，这给油价带来一定的支撑。
　　原油技术分析：
　　目前来看，油价中长期上行趋势保持完好，短期关注是否会筑底，若油价站稳63美元关口，进一步阻力看向2month24Daily high point64.24，更进一步阻力指向年内高点66.66美元，突破则看向2014year12Monthly high point69.54美元。至于下行方面，若跌破100Daily moving average61.41美元，则看向2month9Daily low point58.07，更进一步支撑位于200Daily moving average55.65USD.
From the technical indicators of daily charts,MACD绿色动能柱继续扩张，双线继续缠绕，KDJ指标向上；布林通道中，油价逼近中轨，短期均线偏上。
　　周二，油价在上日大涨后继续走坚，目前关注其能否站稳64美元，值得注意的是，如果油价近期能否企稳并继续上行，则低点不断上移，这是看多的信号。上方初步阻力65美元，下方主要支撑62USD.
　　
　　原油：关注64.00-63.80brace
　　油价再次出现反转，目前已经回到64.00上方。倾向关注63.80-64.00支撑，激进者仍可考虑背靠这里做多，止损63.50, Objective65.00。
　　中长线布局：
　　目前原油处于波略特第五浪涨势开始，低点不断抬高，而且不断创新高，未来几周再创新高机会很大，适合布局中长线多单,如果意外跌破上个低点61-62立即止损离场。

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