虽然上周五公布的非农新增就业人口令市场大失所望,但平均每小时工资月率超过预期,这提振了市场对通胀走高的预期。而今年美联储加息次数的多寡,也在一定程度上取决于美国通胀水平的走势。今晚20:30The United States Department of Labor will announce3monthPPI报告,美国3monthPPI月率预期为0.1%, previous value is0.2%,投资者需密切关注。
目前技术面来看,小周期虽然有出现反弹信号,但并不影响原油走空节奏。我们从日线图上来看,布林带三轨逐步向右走平,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉下行,KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks of Bollinger,MACDThe fast and slow lines intersect and cross over the zero axis, causing a gradual increase in green kinetic energy,KDJ三线呈死叉继续朝下强势发散运行,行情整体明显的空头格局;
4小时图上,布林带开口下行,MA5均线呈死叉拐头朝上运行,KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方交死叉缓和下行,绿色动能有所缩量,KDJ三线拐头朝上缩口有交金叉之势,油价短线有一定的反弹风险,但整体还是空头占强。综合来看,受市场风险情绪的升温,原油亚欧盘昨日有所反弹上涨,但是日线上来看空头趋势依旧占据优势。所以综合来看,原油小周期有反弹需求,那么今日操作上炼金解盘个人建议反弹高空为主,低多为辅,上方关注63.6-63.8One line of resistance, pay attention below62.7-62.5Frontline support.
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