慕容鑫：4.10美指下挫黄金延续震荡，原油关注64.1压制勿追涨

​Murong Xin:4.10美指下挫gold延续震荡，crude oilfollow64.1压制勿追涨


　　周一早盘黄金小幅跳空高开1334ounce/美元后整理下滑至1330一线整理，午间时段短线上冲至1333后承压，欧盘后黄金持续调整下滑至日内低位1326.4ounce/美元后企稳反弹，美盘前后因为美元指数表现的疲软，金价快速反弹收复日内跌幅，最高上探至1337.98dollar/盎司后转入盘整。

　　近期，中美贸易战紧张局势不断升级，引发避险情绪升温一度提振金价。但上周末以来，双方在贸易问题上的强硬立场出现了一丝缓和的迹象。这对黄金构成一定压力，但美元周一继续下挫给金价一定的支撑.下一步，市场焦点将转向中国国家主席习近平将于周二(4month10day)在海南博鳌亚洲论坛发表演讲。此外，美国通胀数据以及美联储3月会议纪要将于本周陆续登场，市场观望气氛加重，金价短期内仍偏向震荡。


　　黄金方面仍受到中美贸易战影响的支撑，金价在1300上方的支撑较为稳固。随着印度婚礼季来临，实物需求方面将会有所回升，黄金ETF持仓也持续增加，因此短期内金价看涨的趋势不变。目前金价仍围绕1330一线震荡，黄金H4走势图布林带目前逐渐走平，黄金整个突破其布林中轨，一小时走势图布林带整体向上开口发散，日线以一根下影线很长的锤头形态收线而这样的形态收尾后，今日整体思路延续看震荡上涨，行情每时每刻都在变化，建议具有一定的时效性，慕容撰文是面向全网，详情以实盘为准，大家可持续关、注慕容鑫提示，下方支撑关注1332Take a closer look1326美金；早盘如果能先回踩给出1332Nearby, stop loss1327Look at the target above1338and1342.If we break through, let's see1348and1352The pressure.

　　原油方面，美国宣布对俄罗斯寡头制裁，其中包括全球铝业巨头俄罗斯铝业。受次影响，俄铝股价暴跌近50%, andLMEaluminiumfuturesSoaring4%，因市场担忧铝供给面将因此受到抑制。而叙利亚局势不断紧张，则导致油价大涨。结合伊朗核协议谈判时点临近，且美国与伊朗和俄罗斯关系持续恶化，地缘局势不确定性对油价构成支撑。原油H1走势图布林带整体向上开口发散，今日依托一小时布林下轨布局做多，但不建议追多，关注62.5-62.8支撑，上方压力关注64.1Suppression.
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