纪姿含：4.10黄金是否能多头？原油操作建议及分析

Message surface
　　本周重点关注周三20:30Published in the United States3Monthly consumer price index(CPI)数据。目前市场预期，美国3Monthly overallCPI年率料上升2.3%Last month was an increase2.2%；3Monthly CoreCPIAnnual rate expected to rise2.1%Last month was an increase1.8%。若CPI数据表现靓丽，有望提升今年加息三次以上的预期。周四02:00Federal Open Market Commission(FOMC)To be announced3月货币政策会议纪要。此前3月美联储的升息声明并未扶持美元迎来多头走势，若3月货币政策会议纪要上美联储的措辞更加鹰派，美
元或获得一定支撑。



　　【美goldMarket Analysis
　　黄金日线收长下影小阳线，昨日早盘冲高1338.5受压回调，下方受1330支撑反弹，美盘破1338.5受压1342回落，收盘于1340Nearby. from4From an hourly perspective,k线运行于布林带中上轨间，布林带开口走平，短线黄金当作震荡偏多的，昨日欧盘黄金下探1330一线企稳走强上行，操作上还是依托1330一线看黄金的震荡上行，从指标来看，RSI中部拐头向上，StochThe high dead cross of the indicator is downward,MACD红色动能量缩量，黄金在震荡走势中，多头攀升，低点不断上移，高点不断刷新，目前金价仍然有上涨的空间，操作上震荡低多的思路不变，上方关注1342-1345Suppress, follow below1335-1330Frontline support.
　　Golden Operation Suggestions
　　Callback1338Multiple stop losses nearby4target1342/1345破位上看（美黄金）
Callback1334Multiple stop losses nearby4target1338/1341破位上看（现货黄金）
　　1345不破位做空止损4target1340
　　【crude oilMarket Analysis
　　技术上今日早间回踩确认66.6的压力位。日线上来看，K线价格冲高后回落，昨日收取一根略短于前期阴柱的小阳柱，收复了隔日大部分跌幅，表明油价下方支撑仍在，MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉运行，白天可能还会整顿回调至62.5附近，还会有一波下跌，布林带开口向下运行上，震荡回调可能性稍大，技术指标MACD也是金叉向下，绿色动能柱减弱，表明油价仍有回调但动能不强；4小时图来看，原油运行的是一个高点下降，低点创新低的空头走势结构，短线依然承压64—63.5的下降趋势线，此趋势线不破，原油将会继续走弱。




　　分析受市场风险情绪的升温，原油亚欧盘有所反弹上涨，但是日线上来看空头趋势依旧占据优势，综合消息面及技术分析今日操作上建议还是以高空为主，低多为辅，上方关注63.5one64One line of resistance, pay attention below62一线支撑，具体操作上可以把握适时的点位进场操作
　　【原油操作建议】
　　反弹到63.5Nearby empty stop loss63.9target63
Withdrawal62.6Multiple stop losses nearby62.2target63.1
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