Ma Huasheng:4.4早间黄金原油行情分析及操作建议

Today's Key Financial Data and Events2018year4month4day Wednesday
　　① 04:30 From the United States to3month30Day and WeekAPIcrude oil库存、美联储理事布雷纳德将发表讲话
　　② 09:45 China3Yuecai New Service IndustryPMI
　　③ 17:00 eurozone2Monthly unemployment rate, Eurozone3monthCPIAnnual rate initial value
　　④ 20:15 U.S.A3monthADPEmployment numbers
　　⑤ 21:45 U.S.A3monthMarkitService industryPMIFinal value
　　⑥ 22:00 U.S.A3monthISMNon manufacturingPMI, USA2Monthly factory order rate
⑦ 22:30 From the United States to3month30Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory
⑧ 23:00 2018yearFOMC票委、克里夫兰联储主席梅斯特就经济多样化发表讲话


　　goldTrend analysis:


　　黄金从日线图来看，日线实体企稳25均线，击穿20Mean Square and10Moving average,K线实体站上均线上方，大周期均线拐头向上发散，小周期均线同样拐头向上发散，重点关注今日日线的确认收线，如果今日黄金日线收线收在10均线上方，黄金后市开启新一轮上涨的走势将会成为大概率事件，从4小时图来看，黄金已经打破前期1357reach1347的下降趋势线，也就是黄金自1357的调整已经告一段落，短线黄金冲击上一个波段1357reach1321of61.8%Location, i.e1344一线受阻调整，同前期走势一样去测试10均线位置，从指标来看，RSI中部拐头向上，Stoch指标高位死叉，目前运行在中部，指标显示黄金短线偏向调整，下方重点关注1307reach1321的上升趋势线的支撑，次趋势线不破，黄金将会继续维持震荡收敛三角形走势，短线继续看黄金的调整，调整不破1307reach1321的上升趋势线，黄金依然会继续震荡，操作上建议高空为主，日内上方关注1338-1340Frontline suppression, following below1325-1328Frontline support.

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Suggestions for US Gold Operations


Withdrawal1333Nearby  Stop loss4  target1337/1340
Rebound1340附近空  Stop loss4  target1337/1334


Analysis of crude oil trend:


　　油价周一受累于俄罗斯产量上升下跌超过2%，沙特预期将下调对亚洲的原油售价，和中国与美国针锋相对的贸易行动加剧。尽管石油输出国组织(OPEC)和俄罗斯执行原油减产协议，但俄罗斯官方数据显示，该国3月原油日产量从2Of1,095Up to 10000 barrels1,097万桶。此外美国原油库存不断上升，也抑制油价。周一大跌，说明空头较强，后市跌破62Falling direction60是大概率事件，操作反弹空，上方关注63.5/64.0压制。从4From an hourly perspective,k线运行于布林带中下轨间，布林带开口向下，MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉继续向下，MACD快慢线呈死叉下行放缓，逐步向右走平，绿色动能逐步缩量，KDJ三线交死叉朝下发散运，小时图有背离，短线可能会所反弹，操作上建议反弹高空为主，低多为辅。短线上方关注63.8-64Suppress, follow below62.8-62.6Support position.

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Recommendations for crude oil operations


Rebound63.8附近空  Stop loss0.4  target63.3/63
Withdrawal63.1Nearby  Stop loss0.4  target63.6


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