顾仲翔：信心从忧心中流失，请在寂寞中重振！

[sup]　　投机交易，一旦信心丧失，一个交易者就没法坚持执行自己的交易策略，而是无所适从或者依赖他人的观点，最终不仅赢得稀理煳涂，输得莫名其妙，而且自己的水准和对自己策略的使用经验和信心也一点没有增加。虽然都说心态最重要，可不找到根本原因还是很难提高心态，这里就我一些个人的经验分析一下，看看心态是怎么样一步步变化的。[/sup]

[sup]　　1、刚开始交易的时候，担心的是这次买进来会跌。[/sup]


[sup]　　对策：设定止损，每次交易损失达到总资金的5%Withdraw and resolutely execute.[/sup]


[sup]　　2、有了止损，不用担心跌了，可担心的是不能获利，而且连续止损，止损个七八回，老本也就去了一大块了，只见止损不见盈利是这时最担心的。[/sup]


[sup]　　对策：提高操作成功率，去寻找波动的临界转向点，也即波动最大可能会按当前趋势运行一段时间的一些进入点。(此为所有技术分析的核心所在，各人的方法都不同，能十发六七中找到临界转向点，已经算是比较成功了)[/sup]


[sup]　　3、提高了成功率，不用担心连续止损了，就开始担心赚时赚的少，特别是错过大行情。手续费加上止损的两头差价，止损一次的代价比理论计算的要高，所以赢时要是利润不够仍然不足以弥补损失，或者利润微小，无法肯定能否长久获利。[/sup]


[sup]　　对策：试着在获利时让盈利扩大，如果能抓住大波动，那么小止损也伤不了几根毫发。[/sup]


[sup]　　4Learn to wait and successfully catch some big fluctuations. Don't be afraid to earn less when you make money, but at the same time, there are also more trades that turn from winning to losing due to waiting. These loss making transactions not only affect mood, but also waste time and energy, and have a significant negative impact on the overall trading performance.[/sup]


[sup]　　对策：使用“绝不让盈利转为亏损”的格言，当盈利头寸跌回进入价格附近时平仓。[/sup]


[sup]　　5Okay, there are fewer trades that have been lost, but there are also more missed big moves due to tying out. Overall, it seems better to use stop losses to take advantage of those missed big moves.[/sup]


[sup]　　对策：放弃“绝不将盈利转为亏损”的格言，改为用止损来博大波动。进一步研究改善止损点位的摆放，同时找出由盈利转而跌破买入价而仍然可以继续等待的一些条件。(注：条件多了，系统就变得不可靠了，有个取舍问题)[/sup]

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[sup]　　6Most of the specific problems have been solved, and the next concern is to what extent and for how long your method will work?[/sup]


[sup]　　对策：将系统实施在过去十年的历史图上模拟实验来验证修改，通过以后用系统做50More than one transaction can achieve a stable execution system without market interference.[/sup]


[sup]　　7、系统可以稳定执行了，总的交易成果从统计上来说是正的，这时都不担心单一一次交易的成果如何，而是具有在整体上的必胜信心。但仍然有新的问题，担心的就是市场一旦某种性质发生了变化(比如周期变化，主力的操作风格变化)造成股性改变而使系统突然失效。[/sup]


[sup]　　对策：到此就没有对策了，股市是个永远变化的地方，没有一种方法可以长胜不败，特别是技术分析是一种跟风的操作，唯一能做的就是保持对市场的敬畏心态，随时检查系统的运行，当多次交易不正常的结果出现，确认股票出现新的特殊的变化以后必须重新建立新的策略。[/sup]


[sup]　　以上提到的仅仅是建立系统化的交易方法所面临的技术问题造成的心理障碍，而实际操作中，越贴近股市受到各种各样其他因素的影响就越多，如市场气氛，主力的出入，消息的震荡，行情运行的拉锯，都可能使一个交易者无法承受心理压力而放弃使用经过研究的系统，因此如果操作时能够保持一种若即若离的心态，多关注系统而少关注市场，则将有利于心态的稳定。[/sup]

[sup]The strong wind knows the strong grass, and the scorching fire refines true gold. Greed, fear, hesitation, decisiveness, bravery, prudence, conformity, and other aspects of human personality are exposed in market transactions. To some extent, profit is a reward for your character strengths during the trading process, while loss is a punishment for your character weaknesses during the trading process. Technically easy to learn, psychologically sad. Human nature manifests one by one in the ups and downs of the market. By controlling one's psychology, recognizing human nature, staying away from the herd, and standing opposite the majority of people, you have already won half of the market.[/sup]


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[sup]Wen/Gu Zhongxiang[/sup]


[sup](Disclaimer: Respect copyright, reproduction and plagiarism are prohibited. The content of this article is purely the author's personal opinion and is for investor reference only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investors should operate based on this and bear the risk themselves.)[/sup]
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