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余秋欣:3.30复活节休市,下周行情如何?

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前言:如果你懂得和理解一个市场,做交易并不需要很多资本。圣保尔说过,我在软弱时则强壮



今天周五赢因复活节休市,所以本周的交易就4Trading days.

本周的日线走势可谓十分壮观。

首先是周一在一片猛涨中收阳线,并且上涨至1355。

周二上涨至1356,继续刷新高点之后出现重大逆转。

周三出现罕见暴跌,从1356高点直接跌至1323.

周四继续探底1321一线,但是周四短线有出现止跌继续,随后反弹至1325Closing.

整个走势是破高反跌,然后是探底小回升,倒VTrend.



从日线形态来看,gold有形成三重顶的迹象,

日线顶高点1365,1361,1356。

而且每次形成顶高点之后,黄金都是快速下跌,并且会持续破底。

按照这个推理,黄金这次将跌破1302,那么很有可能跌破1300之后形成大跌。

除非黄金下周能收复1346High point.



我们再来看短线走势,

短线在跌至1323-1321下方区间之后开始出现止跌,

有短线筑底迹象,

技术指标也都出现牛背离并且指向上方。

所以下周一,黄金的走势应该是先涨后跌,短线有反弹上1330上方需求。



一旦黄金进入1330-1335区间,那么会出现高空机会。



crude oilanalysis



本周初即便是行情在高点一线开始下跌,现在日线虽然在高位两连阴,但是昨日行情收阴失败,所以其实并没有那么强的看空形态了,至少在跌破多方炮之前是如此,所以操作只能围绕着短线来进行。周三油价在上冲65.30一线随后大跌,接连跌破65.15两大关口,跌至64.50一线整体收跌1.7美金。周二因投资者对贸易战爆发的可能性进行评估,美股周二走了一波过山车的行情,随着美股翻绿,原油回吐了美盘前夕的涨幅,并且随着美股的跌势扩大进一步下挫,K线跌回到布林带中轨和上轨之间运行,上轨一线再次成为阻力位,下方MA10日均线的支撑犹在,均线继续围着金叉向上的趋势运行,4小时图上,昨日的空头导致目前K线跌至布林带下轨一线运行,MA5The daily moving average is stronger than65.50Undercrossing10日均线形成死叉向下运行,绿色动能柱放量明显。那么综合以上所述,由于目前短线上油价走空所以我们密切关注上方65.20as well as65.50一线的阻力位,下周操作建议高空为主。 



--笔者寄语--
Greed and disregard for rules are taboos in investment; There should be logical analysis, regular analysis, and psychological analysis of market trends, rather than gambling or speculation; Don't have too many fantasies about the market, operations, and profits, as the market is very realistic and whimsical ideas can easily be criticized; To earn more and earn less, one should maintain a normal mindset, especially during the learning stage.



作者:余秋欣
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