3.30月线收官在即，黄金不破支撑必有反弹

　　温馨提示：受耶稣受难日影响，欧美多国及中国香港金融市场将于3month30日（明日）休市；美国当周石油钻井数据提前至周五凌晨1点公布，所以各位投资者今天能把手里的单子处理掉的尽量处理掉，因为期间有三天时间可以酝酿行情，又加上下周一开盘就是四月份了有很多不可预测的变故，行情不走但是市场消息面是会逐渐出现的，所以今日大家把握好机会落袋为安！

　　#Message surface#


Wednesday（3month28Day)20:30The fourth quarter actual data released by the United StatesGDPRecorded final value of annualized quarterly rate2.9%Better than expected2.7%, previous value is2.5%；同时公布的四季度实际个人消费支出季率终值录得4%，同样好于前值和预期的3.8%；四季度核心PCERecord of the final value of the annualized quarterly rate of the price index1.9%，符合预期。数据公布后，美元延续此前涨势，金银短线下挫。


　　去年第四季度美国进口大增对此次数据造成一定拖累，但消费支出创三年来最大增幅抵消部分负面影响，帮助此次GDPThe data was recorded better than expected. But it should be noted that this timeGDP增速较此前有所放缓，加之美国前两个月零售销售下降、房地产数据疲弱以及贸易逆差创逾九年新高，这表明美国经济活动有可能在第一季度进一步放缓。再加上贸易政策和围绕特朗普政府执政方向不确定性等相关事件的同步发展，后市gold多头还是有望突破的。


　　文财个人观点：昨日的大幅度回调，使得日线以大阴柱结尾，但是并没有跌破短周期的均线，其次我们也可以看出上周的强势反弹之中，也出现过转阴修正的走势，但是强势中回撤不代表趋势发生转变，文财个人综合而言，我们不能把回调看做空头的来袭，只能看做针对前期上涨的修正。至于说有人在想会不会跌破千三，我只能说很难，更何况特朗普近期将再有动作，美元或遭到新一轮的“炮轰”，虽然不至于说再次暴涨回1350But rebounded to1330乃至突破1340一线还是有希望的，至于说黄金跌破千三真的是如“天方夜谭”了。综合来看文财认为黄金大趋势一定是看多的，那么黄金的短线修正就不足为惧。

　　#黄金后市行情解析及今日策略#


　　随着避险情绪降温及美元持续反弹，近两日黄金市场陷入狂跌模式，又是同样的剧情，昨日晚间黄金走势再次出现巨幅回落，周三金价一度失守1330美元关口，今日更是触及1321.1一线，自周二高点跌去逾35美元，这引起了不少投资者的恐慌。


　　由于此前闹得沸沸扬扬的贸易战在双方进行实质性谈判后避险情绪消退，而且短周期上也形成了双顶的压制回撤，黄金最终还是走出了修正的行情，并且出现有效的突破，所以短线上我们注意及时转变思路，下方看60Support of daily moving average1320一线。但是文财认为虽然市场对谈判结果感到满意，导致黄金暴跌，但贸易问题是一项很大的工程绝非一天两天成事的，文财预计贸易问题可能需要多到半年以上的时间，贸易问题难免会闹出些政治问题，而且特朗普绝对还会有更多招数来遏制中国的崛起，所以对黄金有提振作用。加上休市的影响，午夜估计破位1320一线可能性不大，操作上可现价1322Long on the front line, stop loss1318，由于现在黄金处于低位运行加上1320一线的支撑，不建议追空。

　　#How to solve the problem of multiple golden duvet covers#


　　1For holdings in1340-1345For friends who have multiple orders nearby, the current situation is very serious. This is the consequence of resisting orders, and it is also the least recommended operating method in our industry. For friends who do not want to cut meat and have already locked in positions, it is recommended to set up stop loss and reduce positions, follow the trend of the market, lower the average price, and gradually reduce positions after stabilizing the market, until small losses are eliminated.


　　2On1330-1335For friends who have multiple sheets nearby, their positions are not too deep. If the ratio of funds to positions is not very heavy, just carry out the above operation with a stop loss. Otherwise, you can only cut the meat and continue to hold them, which will only face the risk of liquidation. It is better to take advantage of the remaining funds and seize the opportunity to recover some losses.


The above strategy only provides one idea, and the specific strategy needs to be resolved based on the position, position, and market situation. Friends who are unsure can consult Li Wenchai.


Author/Li Wenchai (official WeChat account:lwc540179821）