谈啸峰：3.27双爆，后市将如何操作？

Preface:


Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

Fundamentals:


　　目前弱势美元没有因为美联储加息而得到改变，上周盘中跌破90关口后一路下探至最低的89.4下方，趋弱发展态势得以延续。当前美元临近上行趋势线支撑，短期内空头继续扩展空间的势能不强，既然大的区间没有突破，小范围的震荡引领当下走势，所以不过度看空美元的前提下适当定义出gold短期内走势是被认可的。本周内市场将迎来美国第四季度GDP年化与实际个人消费支出季率，以及四季度核心PCE物价指数等一系列经济数据，同时还有众多美联储决策者将发表讲话都需要加以关注。中美双方就贸易争端唇枪舌战，前脚美国副总统彭斯刚刚表示，谈啸峰 miniaturetxf545美国拟采取的对中国输入美国产品征税新举措表明，美国经济屈服时代已终结。后脚中国外交部发言怒对，“经济屈服”这个表述张冠李戴，不如说美国经济恐吓和霸权可以休矣。美方应该明白在21世纪国际贸易需要规则而不是强权。且近期美国财长将访华，相信也就是为了“中美贸易争端”而来的。


Gold Technology Analysis:


　　从技术层面来看，黄金仍然维持在1340-1366之间宽幅震荡中，黄金周线企稳20均线走强，日线收大阳，指标低位金叉，周线偏向上行的概率大；日线再次收出大阳线，实体破位1340关节节点，同时金价仍然处于通道中，目前金价已经触及通道的上轨位置，今日多次冲击1355阻力位，重点关注1356-1360一线压制；4小时图运行了一个低点抬升，高点创新高的多头走势，同时4小时图构建了一个大型W底，而且是破位W底颈线位置的W底，多头强势而从指标来看，布林线呈现收口中，上周的收盘价处于布林线上轨位置，因此诚瑞认为先看多头延续，但看多不追多，上方关注1356-1360Suppress, follow below1340支撑，建议回调做多操作即可。

Suggestions for Gold Operations:


Withdrawal1346Going long nearby,Stop loss1342, Objective1360


　　上方点位1360Short selling, stop loss4USD, target1340


　　crude oilTechnical analysis:


　　从日线上看，上周五收阳继续上涨，打破了原油日线的短期下跌结构，目前原油再次进入了多头的趋势中，原油日线只要没有跌破上周五的实体阳线，行情将会继续走高。但是目前来看，近期由于油价涨势过于凶猛，油价连涨过后周期指标也急需一次修复，因此在日内的操作上切勿高位追多。虽然今日早盘油价再度回调，但是这样的回调看似凶猛，终究跌幅还是在正常之中，后继还是有所乏力，因此目前油价的大趋势上多头任然占据主导。所以操作上诚瑞个人建议回调做多为主，关注上方66.6Line resistance, below65.0Frontline support.

Suggestions for crude oil operation:


Callback65.2Nearby, stop loss64.7, Objective66.2-66.6

　　思路决定出路，脑袋决定口袋，投资理财丰富人生。文/谈啸峰