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He Chengrui3.16Recommendations for Operation of Gold Crude Oil

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美国经济委员会主任科恩的辞职,以及美国国务卿蒂勒森的解雇,都引发了不小的避险买盘参与,只是,这样的消息真的很难让多头站稳,解一时之渴而已。这段时间,金价波动的范围在不断的缩小,进入了盘整的阶段,估计一切的横盘都是在为下周美联储3月的利率决议做准备,震荡的日子也不会太久了,而加息一旦落地,势必带动gold发起新一轮的上攻。



如果,今年3次加息的预期能够符合,美元就真正的要开跌了,踏入熊市当中,向进一步的下行空间里迈进,而美元与黄金一直是持相反方向,这也就给黄金2018的小牛市给足了上涨的理由,加息前没有破位1300,加息后就很难破位了,即使破位也不影响大涨的格局。在政治和金融动荡的时间内,避险属性下的货币往往会受到追捧或青睐,近期的市场也受此影响有反弹,但一直也只是蓄势待涨,当然了加息前走空也是毫无疑问,加息落地起涨也是我们不用担心。



Technical analysis of gold:



从黄金四小线上来看,黄金三角震荡结构被打破!MACD死叉发力,均线小周期下穿大周期拐头向下,小时线布林带张口,MACD绿色动能发力过大,RSI超卖,偏向调整!短期来说还有下行趋势,但也难走强,总体来说短期随时都有反弹的迹象,重点关注1314-1312一线的支撑,这里是短期三角整理的底点,破位继续下行,不破就会反弹,反弹先看1320-22, take a break to see1328!今日操作上诚瑞个人建议反弹做空为主。



Operation suggestions:

  1Suggestions1320Close in, stop loss4USD, target1314

  2Suggestions1312Close in, stop loss4USD, target1318



crude oilTechnical analysis:



原油日线收阳,亚欧盘处于震荡,美盘承压61.54高点回落,最低触及60.82,整日行情波动不大,处于区间震荡,从4From an hourly perspective,kLine running onMA5andMA10上方,布林带开口走平,自EIA数据大幅利空,受阻61.3受压回落,下探60.1支撑反弹,低点不断上移,高点不断抬高,整体处于三角区间震荡,日内操作还是高空为主,低多辅助,上方关注61.6/61.8Follow below60.2/60brace



Operation suggestions:

  1Suggestions61.6Short selling, stop loss62, Objective60.6frontline

  2Suggestions60.6Long, stop loss60.2, Objective61.5frontline



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