Gold and stone generate wealth:3.15黄金空投强势，晚间美盘走势分析及解套

撰稿丨金石生财


gold方面：因周三美元汇率上涨，黄金价格有所承压，回吐此前一个交易日的部分涨幅，最终报1325dollar/盎司；美国零售销售数据录得-0.1%不及预期，且为2012year4月以来首次三连跌，支撑黄金上涨，但金价未能突破1330美元关口。此后特蕾莎·梅回应英国驱逐俄罗斯外交官的讲话令黄金回吐零售销售数据公布后的全部涨幅。欧洲美元futures价格表明，投资者预期下周美联储加息50个基点的概率上升至11%。尽管这个押注令人难以置信，但倘若美联储真的超预期加息，恐将对金价造成更大的打压。

crude oil方面：周三油价收盘上涨，因美国汽油库存大幅下降627.1万桶，抵消了原油库存大增502.2万桶所带来的压力。此外，美国国内原油产量再度刷新历史新高，库欣原油库存年内首次录得增加，使得油价上下波动，这也为原油多头埋下隐患。欧佩克月报显示该组织2月原油产出减少7.710000 barrels/Day, to3218.610000 barrels/Day;2The implementation rate of monthly production reduction is147%，但经合组织原油库存增加1370Barrel to18.65亿桶，高出5年均值5000Ten thousand barrels.

3.15晚间美盘黄金行情分析建议：


黄金早盘企稳1323反弹，午后冲高1327承压回落，并且跌破了早盘低点1323。


黄金短周期近期来回震荡，没能走出明确的单边方向，晚间美盘预测还将向下震荡，回调一波。上方关注1325附近压力，下方进一步看1318dollar.


proposal1325-1326One line empty, stop loss1330, Objective1318


3.15晚间美盘原油行情分析建议：


原油日间亚欧盘整体低位区间震荡，晚间美盘上方关注隔夜美盘高点61.3美金压力，技术面还是看冲高回落，偏弱震荡，下方继续关注60美金低点支撑。


proposal61.2-61.3One line empty, stop loss61.8, Objective60.2-60.0


【晚间美盘重点关注的财经数据与事件】


①20:30From the United States to3month10Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States2Monthly Import Price Index Monthly Rate


②20:30U.S.A3Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index, United States3New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the Month


③22:00U.S.A3monthNAHBReal Estate Market Index


④22:30From the United States to3month9Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory


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