恐怖数据将携重磅通胀数据闪耀登场 Tonight20:30,江湖人称“恐怖数据”的零售销售数据、美国通胀报告将同时来袭,本周重头戏即将打响!美国2月零售销售月率预期为0.3%, previous value is-0.3%;2monthPPI月率预期为0.1%, previous value is0.4%。隔夜公布的美国2monthCPI通胀报告全线符合预期,导致投资者重燃对冲通胀的热情,gold随之上涨。今晚,由零售销售数据和通胀数据构成的“恐怖之夜”将如何掀翻市场?黄金会否再度惊现“十美元行情”?投资者请拭目以待。 白宫人事风波远未结束 美元恐将大难临头 据华盛顿邮报周二晚间报道,美国总统特朗普解除了美国国务卿蒂勒森及其助手的职务,该消息助黄金上破1325dollar/盎司关口。白宫本周内或将面临更多的人事变动。特朗普表示保守派评论员Larry Kudlow“很有可能”担任白宫首席经济顾问,并考虑让美国能源部长佩里替代David Shulkin,担任退伍军人事务部部长一职。特朗普政府的不确定性或进一步打压美元。
知金就消息面分析总结: 白宫重新面临人事变动,政府的不确定性或再度引发市场担忧,美元一旦下挫,很容易配合贸易战的影响支撑金银走高。数据上也表明通货膨胀率正在逐步上升,但没有出现速度加快的现象,有利于安抚市场对加息过快的担忧情绪,美指下跌,黄金和美股上涨。贸易关税将在15号之后正式生效,但目前欧盟和中国均未正式确定是否给予关税豁免,市场对贸易战的担忧仍未消除,近期关注各国之间是否采取报复性的措施出现,并刺激避险情绪升温。 ——黄金行情走势分析以及初步操作建议—— 日线收长下影线阴线,下方再次试探由1235-1302一线形成上行趋势连线支撑,进而再次反弹,可见下方力度足够强,目前日线低点不断上移,最近黄金由于在三月加息预期之下运行,或多或少对多头都有些不利,在这种情况下,多空来回最后收阳也足以证明多头依然强势,不管三月是否加息,黄金续涨是一件事实,至于原因,此前的几次加息我也有过解读,这里不再赘言。日线均线交织,附图RSI震荡,MACD零轴下方量能减弱,随时金叉,因此今日依然是依托非农低点去做多看涨。 4小时来看,昨晚在下探之后连阳回升,金价由BOLL下轨上攻至BOLL上轨,后续转为震荡,目前在BOLL中轨之上运行,BOLL缩口运行,随时有破位的可能。MA5MA10同步向上,震荡之后金价在MA90一线得到支撑,但是由于快速上攻之后的震荡带动附图RSITurn the head down,MACD零轴上方量能减弱,因此今日可先看回撤,回撤到位可看进一步上行。小时线来看,回撤需求明显,好在BOLL开口整体向上,多头依然在保持,短暂的回撤并不代表行情会转空,做多仍然是主节奏和主思路,这点需要注意。今日操作放在欧美盘,亚盘先看回撤力度,下方接多点位参考1321and1318一线,到位可分批进多。更多技术分析及操作策略可微信公众号关注“知金道赢”。
知金道赢的交易理念主要有以下几条: 1.Choosing direction is the key to the success or failure of a transaction. Or in other words, to determine whether the market is bullish or bearish, only by grasping the direction of the market and following the trend can the possibility of making money be greater. 2.Seize the opportunity to cut losses. Even if you have no trading experience, doing a good stop loss can control the risk. If you follow the habit20Stop loss by points, and try to earn as many points as possible when making money, according to the right/wrong ratio50%算,最终结果你还会赚钱 3.Learn how to manage funds. this isfuturesIt is of great significance in investment, for example, when you cannot predict the market situation, you can strike lightly, and when you see it, you can rush in with heavy positions. But most investors increase their positions as they lose more, and when they make money, their positions are actually larger 4.When the bullish market does not rise, one should never go long; conversely, one should never go short. 5.Overbought items can be even more overbought, while oversold items can be even more oversold. Some investors pay too much attention to technical indicators and dare not follow the market trend, instead opening positions in the opposite direction, resulting in losing money instead of making any profit. I don't pursue the so-called accuracy. I make ten orders against nine orders, and just making one mistake is enough to lose to the point of doubting the market. How many people make orders, want to run when they make a profit, and want to bear losses. Take out historical records and make them clear at a glance. profit10单赶不上一单亏损。这样的操作,你要是不改变,等着你的就只有无尽的遗憾。