Xinrui Lunjin:3.14CIP过后对黄金后市如何？是利空还是利多？

Article Summary：3.14What is?CPI？3.14What is inflation?3.14What is a rate hike?3.14CPAyesgoldWhat impact does it have, is it significant?3.14What impact does inflation have on gold?3.14What impact does interest rate hike have on gold?3.14Inflation, interest rate hikesCPIWhat is the connection between the three?3.14Will gold continue to rise today?3.14Will gold still fall today?3.14What should I do if an empty ticket is covered? 3.14 CPIWhy did gold skyrocket and plummet;3.14How to operate gold repeatedly up and down?3.14How to untie the gold long short position being trapped?3.14How is gold going to rise or fall this week?3.14goldXAUUSDquotations analysis?XAUUSDWhat is the trend of the London gold market?3.14Why does the US Composite Index rise and fall sharply in the short term?3.14The gold market will break through in the future1300Is it a checkpoint?3.14What if both long and short positions are trapped? Is there a chance to break free?

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——Xin Rui's Discussion on Jin's Message——
  A person's theoretical foundation determines their development space, and those with ideas have the potential and momentum to work. Theory has depth, only by looking at problems can we draw analogies and make decisions with ease. Any politician or entrepreneur who can accomplish great things in society must first be a theorist, accurately observing the momentum and predicting trends in the chaotic and complex situation, being more forward-looking, preparing for the future, managing the situation, and achieving greater success rates.



——Recent impact on gold news——


   Specific data shows that the United States2Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPIActual annual rate recorded1.80%Maintain the previous and expected values; United States2Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPIActual annual rate recorded2.20%, which also meets the expected value and has increased compared to the previous value0.1One percentage point. The Washington Post reported that US President Trump has dismissed US Secretary of State Tillerson from his position.
White House spokesperson Sanders confirmed that the news is true. Trump said that current CIA Director Pompeo will take over as Secretary of State and he will execute the job well. Trump also expressed gratitude for Tillerson's previous work. Traders indicate that the United States2The monthly inflation report is not surprising, as the market has clearly priced in the strong side of economic data. However, the US dollar still faces downward pressure after the data is released, partly due to a decline in the actual average weekly wage increase.

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The Federal Reserve will hold a new policy meeting next week. Although the market has long anticipated that the Federal Reserve will3Monthly interest rate hike25A basis point, but the market will never easily let go of any information that may be used to judge the heat of the US economy.
JI believe that the overall market attention to the inflation situation in the United States is higher than employment performance. In last Friday's non farm payroll report in the United States, salary data received significantly more attention from investors than other sub indicators, not only because the Federal Reserve's decision-makers valued it, but also because it can more comprehensively reflect the country's economic performance than the employment rate. ”United States2Monthly salary and annual salary rate have decreased compared to the previous period0.3Percentage points to2.6%This may provide evidence that,1The significant increase in monthly salaries is largely attributed to multiple local governments in the United States2017At the end of the year, the minimum statutory wage level was collectively raised, but the enthusiasm of enterprises to actively raise wages was not as great as the market had imagined.NatWest Capital MarketsSenior American EconomistKevin CumminsThe United States2monthCPIWhether the indicator performs well or not, it cannot change the current market rules of the game, so it cannot affect the Federal Reserve3The final outcome of the monthly policy meeting(raise interest rates25Basis points)。


——Technical analysis of gold——

On the daily chart:Last Friday, the daily chart recorded a long shadow of a small yang, forming a strong bullish trend at the small cycle technical level, but above the gold level1328Frontline is still a critical pressure, as long as1328The front line has not been breached, and Yuxi expects that there is a high possibility of a slow rise and another downward trend today. It is also important to consider the continuity of the market, which means that the probability of fluctuations is relatively high.
from4From an hourly perspective:4At the hourly level, it is not difficult to see a head and shoulder shape. In last week's trend, constantly breaking through support points became a characteristic of last week. After the opening today, the gold price is1322The first line is consolidating here, according to the theory of moving averagesKThe continuous decline of the line, supported by the medium and long-term moving average, indicates a high probability of bulls giving up, while the large bearish line pulled out after crossing the medium and long-term moving average indicates that bears are relatively strong. Yuxi suggests focusing on high-altitude operations and paying close attention to the area above1340First line pressure, below1300Strong support from the front line. Yuxi's personal suggestion for short-term trading is to pay attention to the above1328Line resistance, below1312Frontline support.

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——Gold operation suggestion:——
1Multiple orders:1313-15Multiple orders entering, stop loss1310, Objective1322-1324
2, Empty Order:1323-26Empty order entry, stop loss1330, Objective1315-1317
Xinrui Note: The market is constantly changing, and operations may also change at any time. This suggestion is for reference only. Please refer to Single Line Xinrui for specific operations《xrlj16888》Based on the guidance of Xinrui Lunjin's actual market!!!   


——Xinrui's Personal Summary——

Xinrui believes that from the perspective of market news, there are two aspects that are currently favorable for gold: first, the Trump tariff issue; 2、 Personnel changes in the US government. However, there are three negative aspects to gold: firstly, the situation on the peninsula has now been put on the table, and the degree of easing has been further released; 2、 Last week's non farm payroll data once again proved the strength of the US job market, which is bound to benefit the US index and suppress gold; 3、 The Federal Reserve3Monthly interest rate hike, previously expected probability has reached80%At the same time, with the further strengthening of last week's non farm payroll data, it is basically certain that the Fed's interest rate hike event will be a certainty.

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In addition, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates this year4Next or5Therefore, the gold market may continue to be under pressure due to the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike expectations. At present, trade tariffs have been affecting the market's nerves, but the possibility of trading stations is very small, so the risk aversion has subsided and the support for gold is insufficient. Xinrui Lunjin believes that in the future, gold will continue to have a bearish trend.





——The sheet is nested like a puzzle——

A、stay1318-1315Investors who have been trapped in short positions don't need to blame themselves. The situation doesn't seem too bad now. First, based on our own position situation, we can take advantage of the opportunity to unwind or reduce our holdings at a low price; Then after each reduction, go long accordingly.

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B、above1326For friends who hold long orders on the front line, currently your long orders are still very safe and can continue to be held, but be careful not to be greedy. Insufficient greed can easily put oneself in a difficult situation. In Ji Chuanlin's opinion, there will still be room for growth in the future, so you can seize the opportunity of your long orders;
If there are still tricky and difficult problems to solve, I hope you don't have to endure them alone anymore. You should find.To someone who can help.You can also find your teacher.Go to Xinrui to discuss gold《xrlj16888》I cannot guarantee a 100% perfect solution to your problem, sometimes the market is still there, but Xinrui can guarantee that it will not disappoint you.》





——Xinrui, speak from the bottom of your heart——

Like a big river, we are all fish in the river. Although we swim on our own, we generally follow the current. Some strong fish can jump out of the water and see the direction of the river, but in the end, they will still fall down. These people are called prophets or wise men. And there is a group of fish that cannot jump out of the water, but pretend to jump out and then start deceiving other fish, which is called public knowledge. And those who can truly step onto the shore and change their life trajectory, I call it 'going against the sky', such as some big shots in various industries. So most fish do not have the ability to see their own destiny, but they want to change their destiny, which is the beginning of many tragedies. Xinrui Lunjin doesn't want to boast about himself, his strength is only waiting for you to experience,

  Xinrui doesn't use fancy language to impress you in the article. If you want to do it, be practical. No matter how much you say, it's better to use practical actions to help you. I hope my article can bring you gains and smooth sailing in your future investments. If you have any questions, you can contact Xinrui《xrlj16888》Consultation, I am not only a mentor, but also a friend worth making in your life.  



                    Reminder to everyone: Investment carries risks and requires caution