vGuo Guojing Yun:3.8Will gold continue to rise in the future despite the sharp decline in gold prices? Today's operational suggestion is to split multiple orders

Wen/Guo Jingyun


Wednesday（3month7At the beginning of the Asian market, internationallygoldShort term uptrend touched1340.60dollar/Oz, breaking a one week high, quickly rose to a high shortly after opening1340The US dollar faced pressure and remained at a low level afterwards1335-1330Walking near the US dollar, the "small non farm payrolls" joined forces with the Federal Reserve to disrupt the US dollar and gold, and a new round of battle broke out! After the release of data on small farmers, gold briefly fell to1322Around the US dollar.

　　由于近几次公布的ADPThe overall performance of the data is stable. If the data exceeds expectations again, the US dollar bulls may have a chance to rebound, and they will also be optimistic about the increase in non farm payroll on Friday. At present, the focus of the market has shifted to the Federal Reserve. Yesterday evening, several important figures from the Federal Reserve will make speeches one after another,21:00time slotFOMCVoting committee member and Atlanta Fed Chairman Bostic will deliver a speech on the economic outlook,21:20Dudley, the third in command of the Federal Reserve, delivered a speech. In addition, important considerations for the Federal Reserve in formulating monetary policy--The brown book on economic conditions will be released early this morning03:00publish. Investors need to focus on the economic, wage, and inflation aspects in order to develop a spatial layout.


　　相关分析指出，市场对于贸易摩擦升级的担忧以及欧洲的政治不确定性对金价的支撑作用有限，目前美联储加息预期和美元走势仍然主导着金价走势，黄金短线走势目前受到了压制。


　　另外，贵金属价格通常与美元走势挂钩，但近期美元和金价显示出了较高的负相关性。


　　尽管不断上行的物价压力可能迫使美联储以更快速度升息，但这可能不会伤及黄金。事实上，美联储的反应将加大市场对市场的负面展望（对黄金有利）。此外，新兴市场正坐拥大量美元计价的债务。因此，美元融资成本大幅上升，可能导致新兴市场出现全面债务危机，经常账户出现赤字。在这种情况下，新兴市场货币将大幅下跌，从而导致以新兴货币计价的黄金上涨。

　　综上所述，景运认为目前美联储距离3The monthly interest rate decision is getting closer, and investors in the gold market don't have to worry as interest rates are also getting closer. Looking back at the past10From the trend of the year, it is difficult to say that the Fed's interest rate hike is positive for the US dollar, so ultimately gold will benefit.

　　黄金技术分析今日操作建议


　　据现在的走势情况来看，技术上，由于，金价升穿了位于50Daily moving average1330The entry level of the US dollar, gold refreshed yesterday2month28High point of the previous period to1340After encountering pressure on the front line, there was a partial decline, and at the same time,5-10The aggregation of daily moving averages shows signs of forming a golden cross, which is also affected technically1236-1366Rising Fibonacci23.6%The test of the retracement line, above1340There is pressure on the integer threshold, and5The turning point of the previous rise and fall of the daily moving average has also been suppressed.


From4Looking at the hourly indicator chart,RSIHigh position turning head downwards,StochThe indicator has a high dead cross, indicating a high probability of gold bias adjustment. From the current perspectiveKFrom a linear perspective, it is expected that there will be limited space below, and the overall trend will still be bullish, coupled with the large cycle moving average indicatorMA5Clearly wornMA10The daily moving average is located at0Running above the axis, in accordance with the indicatorsMACDThe golden cross continues to increase volume, and the outlook for the future is optimistic about a volatile upward trend. Today's operations are focused on the upper level1330，1336-1340Breakthrough situation, follow below1322-1317Frontline support, operation on the scenegjyZero Six Nine suggests that the main focus should be on a pullback with a low bullish trend, followed by a rebound with a high bullish trend. Specific operational recommendations should be based on actual market conditions. Friends in need can contact them directly.

　　黄金多单解套


　　本周黄金自企稳1320一线后，黄金开始一路慢涨，今日开盘最高位达1340一线刷新了2month28日高点，另手持1320-1330附近被套空单者频临绝望，有些被套者可能以出现了爆仓，随后黄金在1340附近承压回落，另还手持被套空单者看到了希望，晚间最低下跌至1322附近，相信目前市面上1320附近的空单都已经解出了，经过昨晚黄金的一轮下跌，对于多单被套者，目前应处于1336-1330附近，对于在此区域点位被套的朋友，景运建议你们先行减仓止损，减少出现爆仓的风险，具体操作看后续走势对于下方支撑1322的突破情况，不破还会有反弹的可能，操作上建议你们顺应行情走势，针对您目前资金的大小，合理控制风险可进行轻仓进场操作，顺应走势，逐步拉低均价，进行减仓处理，降低爆仓的风险，所谓留得青山在，不怕没柴烧。

　　现货市场不同于其他金融投资，对于消息面的拿捏相当重要，没有专业人士的分析与指导，对于大多数人来说，面对套单可能无从下手，如果你不想再继续被套下去，又苦于不知道如何操作，找不到实时有效的解决方案，可与景运取得联系，将您单子截图与我，专业的人，做专业的事，只有了解清楚您的情况之后，景运才好对症下药，依行情给予您实时的帮助，给自己一次机会，也是对您资金的一种负责表现。


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