Alchemy Release:3.7Late reviewEIA静候小非农，黄金原油走势操作策略附解单

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在今年市场普遍看好欧洲资产之际，全球最大对冲基金桥水却偏偏与主流共识“唱反调”，高调宣称今年最大的目标就是做空整个欧洲。最新数据显示，目前桥水持有的欧洲空头头寸已经暴增至220USD100mn2月空头头寸规模相比年初足足翻了7倍之多。分析指出，目前欧洲市场正面临着两大麻烦。

除了贸易战威胁，当前欧洲面临的另一大风险是政治不确定性。本周日德国组阁顺利打破僵局，意大利选举也尘埃落定，然而市场中仍隐藏着一只巨大的“黑天鹅”。据金十本周报道，投票结果显示不反对欧盟的中右翼阵营领先中左翼联盟和疑欧派五星运动党，但最终形成了悬浮议会。这意味着接下来意大利即将进入混乱又漫长的组阁谈判时期。更糟糕的是，五星运动党此次的得票率超出预期，且有消息称中右翼政党内部存在不少分歧，这将为意大利组阁再增加一层难度。分析指出，若欧洲政治风险再度飙升，做空者恐怕会蜂拥而至。



goldTrend analysis:



黄金从日线图来看，昨日日线以大阳线报收，日线成功破位10Mean Square and20均线，同时破位了1361reach1341的下降趋势线，短线多头强势，早盘黄金延续多头走势继续走强，冲击1302reach1361of61.8%Location, i.e1340一线受阻进行调整，短线下方关注日线10均线的支撑，从指标来看，RSIHigh position turning head downwards,Stoch指标运行高位，指标显示黄金上方的空间不是很大，黄金依然处于大区间1355reach1310区间震荡，在大区间没有破位前，继续保持大区间震荡走势；

from4小时图来看，黄金底部构建头肩底的底部形态一路走强上行，运行了一个低点抬升，高点创新高的多头走势，操作上还是要顺势跟进多单，短线冲击1340关口受阻进行调整，从指标来看,RSIHigh position turning head downwards,StochThe indicator has a high dead cross, indicating a high probability of gold bias adjustment. From the current perspectiveK线来看，预计下方空间有限，下方重点关注1330一线强支撑，日内操作上还是要延续多头思路，顺势做多不变，同时晚间重点关注小非农数据，日内上方关注1341and1348and1354First line pressure level, follow below1330and1326and1320一线支撑位。自信源于实力，人格成就魅力。添加笔者炼金解盘WeiXinNumber（ljjp158）每日行情分析、解套策略、中长线布局指导尽在其中，欢迎志同道合之士前来促膝长谈!



美元重挫一度提供反弹动力 beautifulcrude oil库存增加预期令油价逆转涨势



因美元走弱、OPEC产量继续下滑，国际油价周二一度上涨，但之后市场对美国原油库存增加的预期令油价转而下跌。截至收盘，NYMEXU.S.AWTIcrude oilfuturesPrice decline0.4%Report62.36dollar/Barrel;ICE布伦特原油期货主力合约价格下跌0.05%Report65.53dollar/Bucket.

从基本面上看，普氏能源周二发布的报告显示，2monthOPEC石油产量较前一个月下降710000 barrels/Solstice323910000 barrels/日，其下滑部分是由于委内瑞拉的石油产业遭遇重创。另一方面，EIA在月度报告中上调了今明两年美国原油产量预期，今年产量预期上调1%to107010000 barrels/日，明年预期则上调0.8%to112710000 barrels/Day.



Analysis of crude oil trend:



原油日线收上影阴线，昨日欧盘冲高后回落，而美盘冲击结构点位63.3一线受阻进行调整，短线高位受阻调整，日线来看，目前原油处于60日均线附近上下震荡，目前原油短线震荡偏空。在欧佩克持续减产之际，美国页岩油正在疯狂进军全球原油消费中心亚洲市场，油市维持平衡，APIRecord of crude oil inventory566.1万桶的增长高于预期，原油小幅下跌，从4From an hourly perspective,k线运行布林带中上轨间，布林带开口向下，短线震荡回撤整理，震荡区间在61.4-62.7之间，所以操作上炼金解盘建议区间高抛低吸即可，破位顺势跟进。短线上方关注62.7-63Suppress, follow below61.6-61.4Frontline support.

Successful transactions=Strict mindset control+correct fund management+excellent technical skills. Once again, it is important to note that "everything should be prepared in advance, and failure to do so will lead to failure." When placing an order, it is essential to implement a stop loss strategy and control risks, as this is a prerequisite for profitability. Alchemy unlocking----Every opportunity is the beginning of your success.



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