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Market Review
在周二的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈较大幅度下跌的走势,美元指数最高上涨到90.06, 最低下跌到89.50, closing at89.62。欧美最高上涨到1.2420,最低下跌到1.2328, closing at1.2406。
朝鲜方面再次传来重大消息,朝鲜表示在确保政权安全的前提下愿意与美国就无核化问题举行会谈,并将与韩国举行逾10年以来的首次首脑会谈。美国总统特朗普也在推特上做出了回应。消息传来之后,美元急跌。美元本已走低,因担忧美国总统特朗普上周宣布的对进口钢铝征收关税的计划可能触发贸易战。
朝鲜和韩国举行会谈的消息发布后,美元进一步下跌,近几个月美元被视为避险货币,投资者买入澳元、纽元和新兴市场货币。韩国周二表示,朝鲜和韩国4月将举行两国逾十年来的首次峰会。朝鲜和韩国仍然在技术上处于战争状态,但两国的紧张关系自上月韩国冬奥会以来得到缓和。
周二欧元反弹至两周高位1.2420美元,在周日意大利大选和德国社民党对组建执政联盟进行投票后,欧元周一遭到抛售。 欧洲央行和日本央行将分别在周四和周五举行政策会议,交易商将从中寻找货币政策的线索。
从技术上来看,美指周二反弹到90.10之下遇阻,最低下跌到89.50, closing at89.62,意味着美元短线有可能反弹整理后保持下跌的走势。美指5、10、20日均线呈空头排列,也对汇价的反弹构成阻力。如果美指今天反弹在89.75—89.80If there is resistance below, the target for future decline will be directed towards89.40—89.15. Today, the short-term resistance of the US Index is89.75—89.80Short term important resistance89.90—89.95。今天美指短线bracestay89.35—89.40,短线重要bracestay89.15—89.20。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in89.75—89.15Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.24750---1.23650Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking through400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.39900---1.38500Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.94300---0.93400Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in106.200---105.300Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.78500---0.77600Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.29600---1.28400Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range. gold: Can be found in the1350.00—1331.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
白银:可以在17.150—16.650Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 08:00 美联储理事布雷纳德将发表讲话
② 08:30 Australia Q4GDPthe annual rate
③ 15:45 France1Monthly trade account
④ 16:00 China2Monthly foreign exchange reserves
⑤ 16:30 britain2monthHalifaxMonthly rate of housing price index after quarterly adjustment
⑥ 18:00 Eurozone Q4GDPAnnual rate final value
⑦ 21:00 2018yearFOMC票委、亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克将就经济前景发表讲话
⑧ 21:15 U.S.A2monthADPEmployment numbers
⑨ 21:20 Federal ReserveFOMC永久票委、纽约联储主席杜德利考察波多黎社区重建工作
10 21:30 U.S.A1Monthly trade account
⑪ 23:00 加拿大央行公布利率决定
⑫ 23:30 From the United States to3month2Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory