Zhijin:3.5Short selling pressure is still on the market, and there is still a downward trend. Analysis of the trend of gold and crude oil in the evening

Daily statement: We adhere to one thing not because it will be effective, but because we firmly believe that it is the right thing to do. When you hesitate, the world becomes big, and when you bravely take the first step, the world becomes small. When one day you become the person you like, who will question whether your choices are unreliable? You have become a better you, and you will definitely meet better people. Whoever you are, you will meet who you are.
　　
Trump's astonishing remarks on trade war again
　　
US President Trump's sudden decision to impose tariffs on imported steel and aluminum last Thursday has raised concerns among investors that other countries will retaliate, dragging down the US dollar from a six week high,goldOn the same day, it fell to the low point within the year1302.70dollar/After an ounce, I walked outVType reversal. On Friday, Trump once again tweeted that when a country(U.S.A)When billions of dollars are lost in trade with other countries, 'trade wars are good' and easier to win. And according to American political mediaPoliticoReportedly, White House Chief Economic Advisor Cohen is considering resigning because he cannot dissuade President Trump from increasing tariffs on imported steel and aluminum.
　　
Zhijin Daoying believes that setting tariffs in the gold market can be seen as a more dovish scenario: weaker economic growth, lower real interest rates, and a weaker US dollar.
　　
At present, the market is still paying attention to other countries' responses to US trade policies. According to sources quoted by Reuters, the European Union is considering that if the United States insists on implementing global tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, the EU will have a negative impact on the value of35Billion US dollar implementation of US goods25%Import tariffs of.
　　
　　Italian general election or current chaos Gold Price Meets the Test Again
　　
Monday（3month5The latest export poll shows that Mr. Bei only received36%Unable to obtain an absolute majority of seats. The biggest concern in the current market is that if the centre-right coalition cannot obtain a majority of seats, the Five Star Movement may form a coalition government with other political parties, and Italy will also form a "non mainstream government". If the Power Party and the Northern Alliance form a coalition government, it will stimulate the euro to the greatest extent possible, and the euro may rise to1.24. And the possibility of this situation occurring is20%; If there is a floating council (the market expects this situation to occur with a probability of40%So the euro price will be1.225USD. The rise of the euro price or suppression of the rise of the US dollar, thereby benefiting gold; On the contrary, gold prices may face another test.
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　——Analysis of Today's Gold Market Trend——
　　
Gold4The hourly cycle is in the adjustment stage of rising end, starting fromKJudging from the trend of the line structure, gold has broken through the previous low point in its decline1306reach1303Afterwards, it did not continue to decline, but instead chose to rebound after breaking through the previous low point and continue to close with the cross star, appearing at the low pointVFrom the perspective of structure, we are about to enter a long headed structure in the form of inverted form, and this is also supported in terms of morphology. From the perspective of Zhijin Dao winning, we can see that1303After the inflection point appears, the positive line is very strong. Judging from the moving average1361The decline begins, while the contrast1366Since the decline, there have been many times that the long-term moving average has repeatedly crossed, so from the perspective of the moving average, the market is adjusted in the form of volatility. Therefore, according to this theory, the current position of the breakout10MAIt means we need to do more and look ahead.
　　
On indicatorsKDJCurrently operating at a high level and with a clear high passivation structure, then follow theKDJFrom the perspective of operational logic, if there is no extreme market trend, it will start to retreat after experiencing multiple passivations. Therefore, according to inertiaKDJWill begin to decline,MACDAfter hitting the low gold cross on the fast line and slow line, it is not ruled out that the market is about to start a bullish trendMACDFrom the perspective of inertia, it is expected that the high momentum red pillar will begin to retreat after contraction, but overall it may continue to be mainly bullish. Therefore, the gold intraday probability will still maintain the trend of bottom bullish. In terms of operation, short-term short selling is considered before choosing the lower node to be long. More technical analysis and operational strategies can focus on "Zhijin Daoying" on WeChat official account.
　　
　　——3.5Today's Gold Operation Suggestions——
　　
Above not broken1330Frontline empty orders entering, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1322
　　
Below1320Frontline multiple entry, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1330
　　
　　——3.5todaycrude oilAnalysis of market trend——
　　
Last week, the weekly line closed with a large negative line. After breaking the upward trend line, the broken upward trend line in this week's test was hindered and adjusted, and the negative line closed again, forming a bearish swallowKLine shape, weekly bias running, short-term testing of the Bollinger Belt's mid track rebound, and continuing to find short positions at high rebound levels. From the perspective of indicators,RSIRunning high,StochHigh dead cross, indicating that the crude oil is running empty; From the daily chart, the negative entities are zooming in, indicating that the bearish forces are strengthening, while58reach60.7The upward trend line of has been broken, which means that the short-term long trend has been disrupted, and the structure of the long trend has been brokenStochAfter the high dead cross of the indicator, it runs downwards,RSIThe middle part is flat, and the indicator shows that the crude oil is running empty; from4From the hourly chart, the bottom of the crude oil forms a smallWAt the bottom, at the same time, Friday's positive line has already broken a previous high. Therefore, in the short term, crude oil tends to rebound more in a wave. Zhijin Daoying suggests that crude oil rebound at the beginning of the week with a high level in the air, and the upper side pays attention to it62and62.5First line pressure level, follow below60and58First line support position..Real time strategic layout of Qi'e account2508191921
　　
　Non agricultural Super Week, do you want to keep up with this wave of rhythm
　　
March has been booming one after another, with interest rate hikes looming. This week, non farm data will be released, and there is no need to say much about the non farm market. How can one say that one is an investor when investing or not? We all know that profits are full, but how to grasp them is the key. People often stay up late to keep an eye on the market, work hard to learn and analyze the market, and hope that their efforts can yield profits, But often both one's energy and funds are consumed by the market. To tell everyone, choice is greater than effort. The saying goes that there is a priority in learning and a specialization in the art industry. Please entrust professional matters to professional people for efficient solutions. I know that money wins, and I persist in analyzing with heart, so that over time, I can see people's hearts.
　　
——This article is written by Zhijin Daoying（V-Your wordszjdy528)As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver.
　　
Through the ups and downs of these years:
　　
Heavy positions must die, no stop loss must die, greed must die, blind entry must die, frequent operation must die, and left operation must die. It's all something I've experienced many times before I understand, but unfortunately I don't have a long memory. Every time, one of these things goes viral.
　　
Anger, madness, pain, despair, sadness, joy, joy, happiness, desire, you need to suppress all your emotions in order to become a successful gold investor, so the more profits you make, the older you feel in your heart. This is the final conclusion.
　　
Here is a message to all of you, to share with yourself: in terms of single strokes and parts, the correct method may not necessarily lead to the best results, and the wrong method may lead to occasional victories or even glories. However, in the long run and in the long run, success inevitably comes from adhering to the correct habits and constantly improving character cultivation.
　　
Wen/Zhijin Dao Wins