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汤锦唯:美指逆袭黄金承压于偏鹰证词,原油逢低布局

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  美联储主席鲍威尔在上任以来首次公开亮相,除了投资者对其执掌美联储能力的疑虑。他宣读了事先准备的证词并回答了提问。近几周市况犹如过山车的美国股市,在鲍威尔国会听证后下跌。美国指标公债收益率上升,表明投资者预计美联储今年将收紧货币政策。美元也因此获得支撑,后市有望再度走强。




  goldTrend analysis:



  周二,黄金在亚欧盘时段持续窄幅震荡,美盘开始之前价格短线快速回落,而在美联储新任主席鲍威尔发表了美国经济未来两年将会继续走强的鹰牌言论之后,黄金更是出现了连续性破位瀑布式下跌,凌晨时段价格最低触及1313,日线收取中阴线,MA5Tick below the daily moving average,K线也快速跌至中轨一线下方,日线趋势在经过短暂几天的反弹修正之后再度转弱,1366-1362双顶形态压制有效,4小时连续大阴线破位下跌,布林通道下轨下方开口,短周期均线空头排列,高点和低点同时不断下移,vCore:tjw398。4小时趋势看空,日内操作思路顺势反弹做空为主,下方低位做多为辅,上方压力位分别关注凌晨反抽高点1319以及最后一次下跌高点1326,下方短线支撑关注凌晨回落低点1313!




  crude oilTrend analysis:



  由于受到欧佩克和国际能源署(IEA)的言论和美元的走高影响,使得油价在API利多的情况下也走出跌势,一度跌破63.1-63.2一线的支撑,最低触及62.5美元附近;而油价的意外下跌主要是受到消息面的影响,到消息面的影响消退,油价也会重新回归技术面的走势之中;当前来看,油价位于5Daily moving average and10日均线内运行,而下方62.5一线这是前期高点的位置,形成顶底置换的走势;并且油价在60.8一线上涨以来,一直依托10日均线作为支撑上涨,所以日内的操作,vCore:tjw398。我们可以依托10日均线的位置62.2-62.3一线,逢低布局多单即可;晚间23:30haveEIA数据公布,望投资者警惕。




Suggestions for crude oil operation:




Withdrawal62.3Long on the front line, stop loss62.0, look at the goal62.8-63.0,进一步看向63.5。(轻仓操作)




  黄金多单解套策略:




  1.1325-1330被套的朋友,目前被套的点位还不算严重,锦唯建议等待黄金反弹后获利或是小损出局,但是对于资金小的客户那你应该考虑你能否承受住黄金跌至1315Below;



  2.1330-1335For friends who are surrounded by bedding, the bedding position is a bit severe. First of all, you should consider whether your order can withstand the risk of further decline in gold. If it cannot withstand it, it is recommended that you reduce your position first to avoid being forced flat. If the amount of funds can withstand it, then short or long at the high point to pull the average price and reduce losses!




  3.1340上方的单子目前的被套点位已经有二十多个点,锦唯个人后市看好空头趋势,锦唯建议多单被套的朋友等待反弹抓住机会,或是在等待反弹做空来拉低均价减小亏损,由于锦唯不知道你的具体点位,想解套的朋友可以单线锦唯!




  以上内容仅代表作者锦唯个人观点,因网络发布的延时性,操作建议仅供参考,请做好风险控制,具体操作方案以笔者实时指导为准!投资有风险,入市需谨慎,据此操作,风险自担!



Wen/Tang Jinwei/Senior Analyst/tjw398
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