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Market Review
在周一的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈回调企稳后反弹的走势,美元指数最高上涨到90.07, 最低下跌到89.50, closing at89.85。欧美最高上涨到1.23550,最低下跌到1.22790, closing at1.23120。
尽管美国公布的新屋销售数据再传“噩耗”,但多头依然熊心未改,美元指数重新站上90大关,上演V型大逆转。欧元则受到欧元区政治风险拖累,持续下滑。本周,市场聚焦美联储主席鲍威尔国会首秀。有分析指出,美元当前已足够便宜,而鉴于近期美国经济数据表现强劲,如其释放出鹰派言论,美元将受到提振。
与此同时,美联储升息次数可能多于市场最初消化的次数,这一预期在过去几周支撑美元。对通胀在停滞了很长时间后上升的担忧,提高了美联储可能在今年和明年收紧政策程度大于预期的可能性,这提升了美债收益率和美元。自一周多前美元指数触及三年低位以来,美元已上升1.4%,2月有望升近1%,1月曾下跌逾3%。
此外,因欧洲的政治事件,投资者对在本周大举建仓表示谨慎。意大利将于周日进行大选,德国主要政党将决定联合政府协议,可能令默克尔第三次连任德国总理。
从技术上来看,美指周一回调在89.50之上受到brace,反弹受阻在90.10之下,收盘在89.85,意味着美元短线有可能回调整理后保持反弹的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in90.35—89.55Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.23500---1.22500Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking through400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.40500---1.39100Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.94300---0.93400Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in107.650---106.450Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.78900---0.78200Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.27200---1.26200Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
gold: Can be found in the1340.00—1325.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
白银:可以在16.750—16.450Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 18:00 eurozone2Monthly Economic Prosperity Index, Eurozone2Monthly Industrial Prosperity Index, Eurozone2Final value of monthly consumer confidence index
② 21:00 Germany2monthCPIInitial monthly rate
③ 21:30 U.S.A1月耐用品订单月率、美联储主席鲍威尔半年度货币政策报告讲稿公布
④ 22:00 U.S.A12monthFHFAMonthly rate of housing price index, United States12monthS& /CS20Annual rate of housing price index in major cities
⑤ 23:00 U.S.A2Monthly Consultation Chamber of Commerce Consumer Confidence Index, United States2Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
⑥ 23:00 美联储主席鲍威尔在美国众议院金融服务委员会发表半年度货币政策报告
⑦ The next day05:30 From the United States to2month23Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock
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