NFX品汇国际：美元震荡反弹非美高位继续调整

Market Review
　　在周一的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈小幅反弹的走势，美元指数最高上涨到89.62, 最低下跌到89.01, closing at89。31。欧美最高上涨到1.24320，最低下跌到1.23370, closing at1.23870。
　　美国商务部公布的数据显示，美联储最青睐的通胀指标小幅上涨0.2%，符合预期。数据公布之后，美联储加息概率攀升，美元指数延续涨势，刷新日高至89.55. In addition, the United States10年国债收益率升至2.7%以上，创下近4年高位，也令美元受到支撑。有分析师指出，国定收益和美元之间的关联性终于再次发挥作用，表明美指或很快触底。有图表分析师亦指出，美元跌势过度，或将迎来反弹。
　　上周，美元大跌1.7%Created from2017year6月以来最糟糕的一周表现。根据FactSet的数据，周一美国国债收益率上升，其中10年期国债收益率升至2.7%以上，创下自2014year4月以来的最高水平。美国国债收益率上升，往往会使美元更具吸引力。

　　上周，美国财政部长努钦对美元走弱表示欢迎，但随后又淡化了他的言论，特朗普总统也表示努钦的言论被“断章取义”了。
United States103-year treasury bondfutures成交量在美联储本周政策会议前夕上涨。高盛预计，美联储会略微增强鹰派论调，与3月加息的前景一致。
从技术上来看,美指周一回调在89.00之上受到brace，反弹受阻在89.65之下遇阻，收盘在89.31,意味着美元短线回调后可能会继续保持反弹的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in89.90—89.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.24350---1.23000Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking through400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.41550---1.39450的区间限卖出，有效破位400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.94150---0.93400区间下限买入，有效破位400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in109.550---108.550Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.81450---0.80750Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit250Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.23800---1.23000Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1351.00—1330.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit6USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银：可以在17.450—16.850Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 07:30 Japan12Monthly unemployment rate
② 14:30 France Q4GDPAnnual rate initial value
③ 15:00 Switzerland12Monthly trade account
④ 16:00 Switzerland1monthKOFEconomic leading indicators
⑤ 17:30 britain12Monthly central bank mortgage loan permit
⑥ 18:00 eurozone1月经济、工业景气指数、欧元区第四季度GDP年率初值、1Final value of monthly consumer confidence index
⑦ 21:00 Germany1monthCPIInitial monthly rate
⑧ 22:00 U.S.A11monthS&amp/CS20Annual rate of housing price index in major cities
⑨ 23:00 U.S.A1Monthly Conference Chamber Consumer Confidence Index
10 23:30 英国央行行长卡尼在英国上议院经济事务委员会出席年度听证会
⑪ The next day05:30 From the United States to1month26Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock