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汤锦唯:美元反弹打压黄金多头,原油回调做多

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Tuesday(1month16day)美元一度反弹,但收盘悉数回吐涨幅。因美元整体趋势走空,导致每次反弹都有可能遇到市场逢高做空。同时,由于近期影响美元走势的经济数据或重大事件稀缺使得美元走势更多反应市场多空博弈。另一方面,由于欧元近期走强,市场猜测欧洲央行可能会担忧货币升值将抑制通胀回升,从而不如预期鹰派,而这可能是美元反弹的一大契机。




  目前技术面来看,日图布林带开口上行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈金叉继续朝上发散运行,KThe line intersects between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACDThe fast slow line shows a golden cross and slows down, with a decrease in red kinetic energy,KDJ三线交死叉向下发散运行,行情整体还是表现多头格局,但势头有所放缓;布林带三轨朝上缩口运行,MA5Under the moving averageMA10均线交死叉朝下运行,KThe line intersects with the Bolin Medium Rail Line,MACD快慢线交死叉缓和下行绿色动能放量,KDJ三线呈死叉拐头朝上缩口欲有交金叉之势,gold表现空头趋势但在隔夜美盘大跌后目前短线势头有所放缓。



  综合来看,欧元的下跌促使美指反弹,进而美指的反弹上涨打压了黄金多头,黄金日内自去年九月以来高位回落,低点触及1331.78一线,短线空头偏于强势,日内操作上来看的话,笔者汤锦唯建议以反弹空为主,低多为辅。上方关注1342One line of resistance, pay attention below1330Integer level support.




  黄金日内交易策略




  1Rebound1342-1340Near empty, stop loss4US dollars, target see1335-1332On the front line, breaking through and holding;




  2Downward weak break1330Frontline available1330-1332附近多一次,止损4US dollars, target see1337upper.




  crude oilTechnical analysis:




  从日线图来看,布林带开口上行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈金叉良好朝上运行,KThe line intersects between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线呈金叉缓和上行红色动能有为辅缩量,KDJ三线初交金叉朝上小幅发散运行,原油整体还是多头趋势,但趋势有所放缓;原油周线连阳上行,多头走势依旧,日线大阳线报收,多头走势强势,周四APIandEIA数据都是利多,油价虽然没有出现明显上涨,但得到了有效的支撑,行情稳定在63上方高位震荡横盘,原油周线将会偏向上行的概率大幅增加。所以原油依然会继续走强。油价突破大周期级别62.7阻力后一路上涨且突破64一带,众所期待的回撤走势一直没有看到,之所以会这样,我想大多都是看不到多头反攻能到哪里!但仅仅是因为看不到多头能走向哪里就抢空?实在有违交易原则,因此在目前油价上涨发展的良好态势下,且没有出现较明显的回撤迹象前,交易思路定要维持与跟多为主,上行短线突破65后继续上看,强势单边上涨行情,汤锦唯建议顺势以逢低布局做多!操作思路上锦唯建议保持回调做多的思路不变。上方关注64.80First line pressure level, follow below64.0一线支撑位,可考虑在64.0进场多单,上方看64.60美元,突破继续上看。



Suggestions for daily operation of crude oil:




  1、回落至下方64.00Frontline multiple entry, stop loss0.4Points, target sees64.60frontline;




  2、触及上方64.80Frontline empty orders entering, stop loss0.4Points, target sees64.20frontline;




The above content only represents the personal views of the author, Jin Wei, and does not provide any express or implied guarantee of the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of the content contained; Investment is risky, so you should be cautious when entering the market. You should operate accordingly and bear the risk!



Wen/Tang Jinwei/Senior Financial Analyst
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