汤锦唯：早评黄金大趋势依旧看涨，原油回调做多为主。

Friday(1month12day)金价涨逾1.2%approximation1340美元整数关口，并连续第五周上涨，因德国政治联盟有望达成的协议，助欧元大涨，而美元则相应大跌。同时，美国12monthCPI数据表现好于预期，提振了市场对美联储加息的预期，美国国债收益率一度快速走高并压制金价。但美债收益率此后整体回落，金价则借势再度扩大涨幅。现货goldnewspaper1388.36dollar/Ounces, up1.21%。金价连续五周上涨，主要归因于美元持续疲软。尽管周五出炉的美国12monthCPI表现好于预期，使得市场对美联储加息预期有所上升。但美元表现依然疲软，日内跌逾1%And fall behind91Integer level.


Gold market analysis:


　　本周多空互不承让，日线图上已有六个交易日收官于1320Above the checkpoint, there is no positive factor supporting the continued strength, the only support is market buying, and investors find it difficult to decline after following suit. Secondly, the previous night, due to the possibility of some Chinese officials temporarily suspending their holdings of US Treasury bonds, a risk aversion sentiment was generated, and gold once broke this week's high1327On the front line, but after refreshing the high level, it fell again1314一线，上周五凌晨站上且收官1320关口上方。日线级别上，昨日，黄金昨日有过一波强力拉升，但是最后还是没能收盘在高位，K线依旧收盘在MA5均线下方，价格也压缩到了1317frontline,MA10均线则上升到了1314一线，这根线已经连续两天让走势形成企稳，进行反弹，主图上MA5Upper dressingMA10金叉过后走平运行中，而金价一直稳居于MA10之上，那么接下来是否上破就成了关键。4Hour chartK线短暂下破MA5、MA10支撑后，依托布林带中轨支撑迅速回归MA5、MA10上方，中轨1320一带支撑强劲。MA5、MA10继续保持金叉形态，布林带持续向上开口，多头占据主导地位。综合来看：近期黄金多空转变较快，诱空或诱多行情时常出现。空单被套的朋友就得注意下自己的仓位风险。上周五黄金后市最高触及1339一线，并未出现大幅度回调，本周黄金小时线收阳，所以笔者锦唯tjw398认为本周大趋势依旧看涨，但锦唯建议大家回调做多为主。

Suggestions for Gold Operations:


　　1Suggestion below1332一线即可操作多单，止损4美金，上方看到1340, take a break to see1345frontline;


　　crude oil虽受消息面推动，走势上保持强劲上行。但季线图而言，stochindexJ值走出历史性超买迹象。阻力在上方20日均线附近；大级别来看，此次阻力将是油价一道重要阻力位，突破此阻力，油价将有可能冲击100附近；但就当下而言，油价再回到100附近，有些天方夜谭，但不排除此种可能性，所以中线指日可待；四小时图，原油价格多次在布林中轨支撑反弹，但形态上，有趋于双顶形态，周一不破64.7，油价将形成双顶形态，但若tjw398破新高，那么油价将会触及65Nearby resistance.

　　综合上述，本周初原油走势上我个人看好回落，操作上建议回调做多为主，关注上方65阻力，下方看63.6支撑，周初短线操作上，建议原油反弹64.5附近空单尝试，止损0.4USD, target63.8，那么下方回调不破63.8Long, stop loss0.4USD, target64.3


The above content only represents the personal views of the author, Jin Wei, and does not provide any express or implied guarantee of the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of the content contained; Investment is risky, so you should be cautious when entering the market. You should operate accordingly and bear the risk!


Wen/Tang Jinwei/Senior Financial Analyst/tjw398