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品汇国际:美元反弹力度不足 后市继续看空

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Market Review
  在周四的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈反弹后继续大跌的走势,美元指数最高上涨到92.55, 最低下跌到91.79, closing at91.85。欧美最高上涨到1.20600,最低下跌到1.19300, closing at1.20350
  在中国外汇管理局发言人澄清了有关中国暂停购买买债的消息之后,美元指数一度上扬。不过,好景不长,欧美时段盘中,多头惊闻两大噩耗,美元指数瞬间崩跌。欧洲央行在最新的会议纪要中意外释放出了鹰派的信号,而美国公布的最新数据表现不佳,12monthPPIsince2016year8月来首次环比下滑,初请失业金人数则连升四周。受此影响美元指数急跌逾70点,最低下挫至91.78。
  欧洲央行12月会议记录显示,欧元区经济成长速度为十年来最快,欧洲央行应逐渐调整货币立场,以免推迟行动给经济带来更大冲击,且应考虑对政策指引进行更广泛的调整,降低对购债的关注,增加对利率的关注。鹰派信号令欧元兑美元日内大涨0.77%,创约两个月来最大单日涨幅。
  周四加元兑美元也触低后开始反弹,因投资者认为下周加拿大央行有望再度加息,不过美国可能推出北美自由贸易协定(NAFTA)依然令加元承压。
从技术上来看,美指周四反弹受阻在92.55之下,再次跌破92.00整数关口的brace, closing at91.85,意味着美元短线反弹后有可能继续保持回落的走势。如果美指今天反弹受阻在92.10之下,后市下跌的目标将会指向91.50—91.30。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in92.10—91.50Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.20900---1.20000Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.35800---1.34800Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.98000---0.97200区间上限卖出,有效破位400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in111.600---110.500Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.79300---0.78700Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.25700---1.24900Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
  gold: Can be found in the1326.00—1317.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
白银:可以在17.050—16.850Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.100美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 07:50 Japan11Monthly trade account
② 10:00 China12Monthly trade account
③ 10:50 China12Monthly trade account in US dollars
④ 15:45 France12monthCPIMonthly rate
⑤ 21:30 U.S.A12After adjusting the roseCPIMonthly rate, USA12Monthly retail sales rate
⑥ 23:00 U.S.A11Monthly commercial inventory rate
⑦ The next day02:00 From the United States to1month12Total number of oil drilling in the current week
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