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NFXPinhui International:​中国有可能暂停购买美债美元反弹受阻

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​Market Review

  在周三的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈大跌后回升的走势,美元指数最高上涨到92.58, 最低下跌到91.92, closing at92.33。欧美最高上涨到1.20170,最低下跌到1.19230, closing at1.19580
  据外媒援引知情人士报道称,中国或正考虑放缓或暂停购买美国国债。这一消息传来之后,金融市场走势瞬间发生巨变:美债收益率急涨,美元和美股遭到抛售。市场人士指出,作为美国最大的债权国之一,如这一消息属实,势必会给市场带来重大影响。美元兑一篮子主要货币回吐本周涨幅,短线下跌逾50Point to91.92,日内下跌0.6%, for1个月最大跌幅。
  在日本央行本周稍早调整其长期国债购买计划后,美元/日元已承压,周三大跌超1.2%to11月底低位111.3, creating8个月来最大单日跌幅。同时美元兑加元和墨西哥比索上涨,因报道称,加拿大认为美国总统特朗普很有可能会在1月底的第六轮北美自由贸易协定(NAFTA)磋商时宣布退出。而英镑也受到锁定获利的影响而延续跌势。
从技术上来看,美指周三反弹受阻在92.60之下,一度跌破92.00整数关口的brace, closing at92.33,意味着美元短线反弹后有可能继续保持回落的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in92.65—91.95Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.20100---1.19150Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.35550---1.34750Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.98300---0.97400间上限卖出,有效破位400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in111.800---110.800Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.78700---0.78100Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.26200---1.25100Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
  gold: Can be found in the1328.00—1309.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit4美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
  白银:可以在17.150—16.850Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.100美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 15:30 France12monthBOFBusiness confidence index
② 17:00 Germany2017Throughout the yearGDPGrowth rate
③ 18:00 eurozone11Monthly industrial output rate
④ 20:30 Announced by the European Central Bank12Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
⑤ 21:30 From the United States to1month6Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States12monthPPIMonthly rate
⑥ 23:30 From the United States to1month5Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory
⑦ The next day04:30 纽约联储主席杜德利在美国证券行业和金融市场协会主办的活动中发表主题演讲
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