欧阳枫诚：黄金抉择初显露，一念天堂一念地狱1.10Analysis of Gold Operations

　　隔日早间的空头趋势欧阳也是抓准了一波盈利，中线布局也稳健出局暂告一段落，这次的中线布局可以说是失败的，但是获利却是实打实的。随着昨日的下探，gold将要在本周做出抉择了，是上方筑顶回落，还是蓄力冲高，还将拭目以待。我是欧阳枫诚。
　　

　　—黄金多头走软将终结？—
　　
Tuesday（1month9日）亚市早盘，现货黄金小幅回落至1317美元一线交投。尽管上周美国公布了令人失望的就业数据，曾提振黄金大幅走强，但对即将到来的美国加息的预期给美元提供了支撑，黄金近期涨势有所缓解，虽然朝鲜地缘政治局势仍存不确定性，但相较之前已有所缓和，整体来看，黄金如欧阳之前的文章所说将面临趋势反转的风险。
　　
　　现货黄金隔夜失守1320美元关口，小幅走弱，因对美国今年进一步升息的憧憬带动美元走坚。美国薪资增速显露上升的迹象，或将进一步支持美联储在今年3月加息。自欧洲早期会议以来，美国国债收益率小幅走软，支撑了美国国债收益率，而这将有利于非收益的黄金。这再加上股市小幅回调，所有主要的欧洲stock market index都大幅上扬，进一步支撑了贵金属的避险吸引力。



   不过，预期美联储将在3月加息，再加上美联储强劲的美元购买意愿，对以美元计价的大宗商品的任何额外收益都保持了限制，至少目前是这样。自上周的就业数据被认为不太可能改变投资者对美国央行在3月会议上加息的预期。美联储官员预计今年加息3Times,2019Annual interest rate hike2次。黄金对美国利率上升高度敏感，因为它们增加了持有非收益率黄金的机会成本，同时推高了美元的价格。
　　
　　—美指筑底反弹？黄金蓄力冲高？—
　
　　   看黄金逐渐偏向弱势，昨夜也是如欧阳所说反弹1315便再无动力，而这次的回调也将决定是蓄力冲高还是筑顶回落，这一岔路口的选择也是即将揭晓，欧阳曾布局1305中线多，也是选择获利出局，轻仓盈利15美金，黄金昨日的下探录得低点1308.76，十分接近欧阳之前多次强调的1305支撑，一旦下破企稳黄金多头就此告破，那么上方1322-1326筑顶，我们也将再一次迎来空头时代。

　　
　　短线上如欧阳昨晚说的一样上方关注1315-1320Resistance, lower support1305一线支撑。操作思路上于昨日晚间文章相同建议区间1305-1320高空低多，随着趋势反转信号的出现，欧阳个人偏向高空为主。
　　
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