NFX 品汇国际：非农数据好坏不一，美元继续震荡

Market Review
　　在上周五的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈小幅反弹的走势，美元指数最高上涨到92.10, 最低下跌到91.78, closing at91.95。欧美最高上涨到1.20830，最低下跌到1.20210, closing at1.20470。
　　美国劳工部(DOL)日内公布的数据显示，美国12月非农就业人数意外仅增加14.8万人，远逊于预期的增加19万，但平均小时薪资增长符合预期，增长0.3%。非农公布之初，由于就业人数远逊于市场预期，美元短线急跌，但对于美元走势更为关键的薪资数据表现中规中矩且有加速攀升的可能，不会对美联储今年加息速度构成拖累，这促使其很快触底反弹。
According toCMEofFedwatchFederal Funds Ratefutures消化的3月升息可能性超过60%。部分分析师预计，由于欧洲央行和加拿大央行等主要央行也处于紧缩道路上，这令全球政策趋同化加强，从而令美元承受着较大的下行压力。
从技术上来看,美指上周五回落在前低91.75之上受到brace，但反弹受阻在92.10之下，收盘在91.95,意味着美元短线有可能继续保持底部震荡整理的走势。如果美指今天反弹继续受阻在92.10之下，后市回调的目标将会指向91.80—91.60。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in92.10—91.60Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit20Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.21100---1.20200Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit350Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.36100---1.35300Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit350Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.97800---0.97200间上限卖出，有效破位300Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in113.600---112.800Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit350Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.78850---0.78200Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit250Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.24450---1.23350Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1325.00—1315.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银：可以在17.300—17.100Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.100USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
（日本东京证券交易所因成人节休市一日）
① 16:15 Switzerland12monthCPIMonthly rate
② 16:30 britain12monthHalifaxMonthly rate of housing price index after quarterly adjustment
③ 17:30 eurozone1monthSentixInvestor confidence index
④ 18:00 eurozone12月经济、工业景气指数、欧元区12月消费者信心指数终值、11Monthly retail sales rate
⑤ The next day01:40 2018yearFOMC票委、亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克就经济前景和货币政策发表演说
⑥ The next day02:35 2018yearFOMC票委、旧金山联储主席威廉姆斯出席布鲁金斯学会所主办的活动