金桐意：1.8黄金原油上行节奏放缓，周一后市如何？

金桐意：1.8goldcrude oil上行节奏放缓，周一后市如何？

　　

基本消息面:本周二，韩国、朝鲜举行韩朝高级别会谈，日程将包括冬季奥运会和双边利益的问题。2018yearFOMC票委、亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克(RaphaelBostic)就经济前景和货币政策发表演说。2018yearFOMC票委、旧金山联储主席威廉姆斯(JohnWilliams)出席布鲁金斯学会所主办的活动“美联储应坚守2%通胀目标还是应重新省思？”。周三晚间十一点公布EIA原油库存公布，届时关注对原油影响。周四晚间九半美国公布初请失业金人数将影响黄金涨跌。周五凌晨纽约联储主席杜德利(WilliamC.Dudley)在美国证券行业和金融市场协会主办的活动中发表主题演讲。

黄金方面

上周黄金开盘1301.7dollar/盎司，收报于1319dollar/盎司。近期因为美元的疲软以及各种地缘政治因素等避险情绪的升温，为黄金的上涨提供了一定的支撑，截止目前黄金最高到达1325高位。而上周最重要的还是周五的非农就业数据，数据公布大幅利多，但金价却没有很大的涨幅，只是象征性的涨了点，2018年非农首秀爆冷，非农已经变味了，这是不争的事实。

　　

From4Looking at the hourly chart, gold has reached its high point of consolidation since the beginning of the downward trend1305After the first line, supported by continuous positive, the bottom forms a bullish and piercing patternK线形态，黄金企稳走出了一个顶底转换的多头走势；目前黄金打破八连阳局势也是打破日内高点，强势依旧明显，同时也结束黄金只涨不跌的事实,从目前的走势来看黄金不破1300And1305Continuously bullish,。而从短期来看虽然黄金涨势受阻，转而走调整，但是金价持续站稳1300Great Pass, and Still Stable After Non Agricultural Data1310关口；黄金大趋势上依旧看涨，不过短期黄金预计维持宽幅震荡，因此周初操作上桐意个人建议回调做多为主，上方关注1326One line of resistance, pay attention below1313Frontline support.

原油方面

　　

Due to market concerns about low temperatures in Texas and North Dakota in the United States, equipment has been frozen, leading to a slowdown in production. In addition, the Trump administration is considering imposing additional sanctions on Iran, leading to continued escalation of tensions in Iran. As a result, OPEC and Russia continue to reduce production plans, short-term heating demand has led to a surge in crude oil. Last Friday, the high cross negative line of crude oil closed, and the Asian session opened with a slow rise and refresh62.20The high point is under pressure, while the European market is under pressure for a pullback, and it has been transitioning to a later period in the US market before reaching a new level61.57low point. In the late trading session, there was a slight rebound and it was once again near the high point, but ultimately did not break through the volatile closing. From a daily perspective, after the big sun, the small yin star line was reorganized, and normal correction and repair were carried out. The daily line did not change its upward trend. from4From an hourly perspective,KThe line intersects between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average, with the opening of the Bollinger band facing upwards,MA5The moving average shows a golden cross and flattens to the right,MACDThe gold cross on the fast and slow lines has slowed down and the red kinetic energy has decreased slightly,KDJ三线交死叉缓和向右走平，短线多头趋势有所放缓，但整体还是多头占优。近期原油稳居高位，一路上扬，最高触及62.1Nearby, currently the overall stability of crude oil61Above, it proves that the overall trend of crude oil is bullish. Last week onEIA数据影响下，有多头转空头的趋势，但笔者金桐意个人认为属于诱空，回调即是为了加速上扬，今日日内操作上金桐意个人认为回调做多为主，上方关注62.2One line of resistance, pay attention below61Frontline support.

黄金原油操作建议

黄金：回落1316Long on the front line, stop loss1311, Objective1326；

原油：回落61.4Long on the front line, stop loss61, Objective62.2;

昨天已故，何须感叹，今天已来，何须惆怅，而明天未至，又何须担忧。没有经历的，敞开胸怀去拥抱，已经经历的，沉下心来去回忆，正在经历的，全力以赴去投入。人生的阅历和财富来自于每一个阶段都是精彩瞬间，不应胆怯而放弃，不应困难而退缩。成则帝王，败则枭雄，总比碌碌无为浪费生命有意义。有时候，成败就在敢于不敢和干与不干之间。

Wen/金桐意——一个有态度与深度的分析师

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