NFX 品汇国际：美联储会议纪要助美元超跌反弹

Market Review
　　在周三的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈低位超跌反弹的走势，美元指数最高上涨到92.26, 最低下跌到91.78, closing at92.17。欧美最高上涨到1.20670，最低下跌到1.20020, closing at1.20160。
　　备受关注的美联储12月会议纪要如期揭开神秘面纱。纪要显示，美联储官员预计，企业和个人所得税的削减将为消费者和企业支出提供提振，这将成为加快升息的一大理由。会议纪要公布之后，美元短线拉升。周三公布的12月会议纪要解释了此次会议后委员们为何提升了此后的经济增长预期。委员会成员将2018yearGDPGrowth expectations from2.1%Increase to2.5%。
　　在通货膨胀问题上，官员们也有些争执。美联储一直未能实现其2%的物价目标，而成员们详细讨论了数据一直保持在如此低位的原因。美联储官员集体认为通货膨胀可能会在中期达到目标，但两名成员——卡什卡利和埃文斯——投票反对加息，因为他们希望在目标上看到更多的进展。会议纪要出炉之后，美联储3Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to1.5%-1.75%区间的概率由61.9Ascend to67.5%，6月至该区间的概率则由44.8%lower41.8%。美联储官员还讨论了特朗普政府的减税或者宽松金融条件引发通胀压力上升的可能性，这带来一些美元买盘。
从技术上来看,美指周三在91.75之上受到brace，反弹突破92.00的阻力，收盘在92.17,意味着美元短线有可能回调过后继续保持反弹的走势。如果美指今天回调在91.90之上受到brace，后市反弹的目标将会指向92.35—92.55。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in92.50—91.90Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.20550---1.19650Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.35500---1.34300Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.98400---0.97200间下限买入，有效破位400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in112.850---112.250Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.78550---0.77900Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit250Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.25850---1.25050Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1320.000—1300.000Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银：可以在17.250—16.950Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.100USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 09:45 China12Yuecai New Service IndustryPMI
② 15:00 britain12monthNationwideMonthly rate of housing price index
③ 16:50 France12Monthly service industryPMIFinal value
④ 16:55 Germany12Monthly service industryPMIFinal value
⑤ 17:00 eurozone12Monthly service industryPMIFinal value
⑥ 17:30 britain11Monthly central bank mortgage loan permit, UK12Monthly service industryPMI
⑦ 20:30 U.S.A12Monthly Challenger Enterprise layoffs
⑧ 21:15 U.S.A12monthADPEmployment numbers
⑨ 21:30 From the United States to12month30Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week
10 22:45 U.S.A12monthMarkitService industryPMIFinal value
⑪ 23:30 From the United States to12month29Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory
⑫ The next day00:00 From the United States to12month29Day and WeekEIAcrude oilstock