新年伊始,金融市场即迎来重大行情:周二(1month2日),美元指数跌穿92关口至近三个半月新低,现货gold则一举站上1310dollar/盎司关口。不过,需要注意的是,美元和黄金技术面上均释放出重磅信号,美元指数当前处于超卖状态,有望迎来反弹,而黄金涨势恐已过度拉伸。此外,朝鲜方面再次传来重大新闻,有消息称,该国或将测试其军火库中最大的一枚新型导弹。周二黄金的上涨同时受益于避险需求的推升,伊朗紧张的政治局势和朝核危机仍是推动力量。日内公布的美国12monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIThe final value is55.1,高于前值和预期,对黄金有所不利。Markit首席经济学家威廉姆森表示,不断提振的经济增速、坚挺的劳工市场及上升的物价强化了美联储在近期加息的预期,加息时间或在3Month.
从日线来看,日图布林带开口上行,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average rises with a golden cross,KThe line intersects between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线呈金叉继续上行红色动能逐步放量,KDJ三线呈金叉缓和上行,行情整体表现多头;4小时图上,布林带三轨朝上缩口运行,MA5Under the moving averageMA10Moving average cross dead cross downward,K线与布林中上轨间交投于MA5Above the moving average,MACDThe gold cross on the fast and slow lines has slowed down and the red kinetic energy has decreased slightly,KDJ三线三轨朝下缩口初交死叉下行,油价上周的强势上涨后昨日短线有所回落。
综合来看,日图行情整体还是多头趋势,短线有一定的回落风险,日内操作上来看的话,金通道赢(微/letterjt827827)建议以回落低多为主,高空为辅。上方关注60.8/61美元整数关口。下方关注60/59.8One line support for the US dollar.
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
1Suggest a fallback60.1Long nearby, stop loss0.3Look60.7On the front line, breaking through and holding;
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