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​​​Article Summary:1.2todaygoldAnalysis of opening trend and operational strategies;goldXAUUSDContinuing to rise, how to solve empty orders?1.2goldXAUUSDContinuing to rise, how to solve empty orders? Why has gold continued to skyrocket? What is Xiaonong on Wednesday? What is the impact of small non farmers on gold? What is Friday's non farm holiday? What is the impact of major non agricultural sectors on the trend of gold? How to control positions during non agricultural periods? This week2018How to operate gold for the first time in the year without agriculture? What do you think of Friday's non farm data? Is Friday's non farm data bearish or bullish? Can the gold empty order lock order be breakeven?How can gold recover its losses last week?What are the operational skills for investing in gold?
Last week's market review of gold:
Last week, the market still showed a unilateral upward trend, reaching its lowest point in the morning trading1293After the vicinity, it began to fluctuate upwards, and after the US market, it increased in volume and directly broke through1300Important checkpoints, but also breakthroughs2Months high, reaching the highest1307Nearby, callback to1303Close nearby! After the flat opening this morning, it directly rose by one wave and currently reached a high near Friday! Friday also-Heng gave3Single, stop loss1Single, first order1293Multiple orders in the vicinity, ending in profit1297Nearby, followed by the second order1297-1300Layout a counter trend empty order to break through1300At that time, I decisively stopped my losses, and then I backtracked a lot to stop my gains1306Nearby. These are not behind the scenes, and there are records of Henglun Jin's Weibo strategy and social media. Interested friends can take a look. Last week, we had a perfect closing, only stopping losses on this counter trend short order, while others are close to10Single all stop profit, the friends who keep up should be obvious to everyone! Congratulations everyone!
Gold International News:
one What is small non farm and its announcement time
"Small non agricultural", abbreviated asADP,It is an American automatic data processing company that publishes authoritative employment numbers.ADPThe US Employment Report is published byADPSponsorship, data from50A survey of ten thousand private units, therefore the data has considerable accuracy and can predict non agricultural data at the beginning of each month.
Small non farm data is released once a month, usually two days before the non farm data (i.e. Wednesday). Specifically, daylight saving time is usually released on the evening of the first Wednesday of each month20:15(Winter time)21:15)The announcement has a certain predictive effect on non agricultural data, known as "small non agricultural".
two What is Da Nonnong and its announcement time
Non agricultural data refers to the three numerical values of non agricultural employment, employment rate, and unemployment rate. As the name suggests, it is a data indicator that reflects the employment status of the non agricultural population in the United States. These three data are available on the first Friday of each month, Beijing time (daylight saving time:4month--10Month)20:30Released during winter:11month--3Month)21:30The data is sourced from the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the United States Department of Labor.
3、 The relationship between small and large non agricultural data
ifADPThe employment data is better than expected, and investors' optimistic expectations for Friday's non farm data will weigh on the US dollar, gold, silver, andcrude oilMay be supported as a result; On the contrary, ifADPThe employment data fell short of expectations, and investors were pessimistic about Friday's non farm data, which weighed on gold and silver and boosted the US dollar index.
according toADPData shows that if the employment situation is good, the purchasing power of the people will increase, and the economy will also improve. In this case, investors are optimistic about Friday's non agricultural data, which will suppress the US dollar and benefit gold; On the contrary, if the small non agricultural data is not optimistic and consumption is not stimulated, investors will be bullish on the US dollar and bearish on gold prices.
Due to the impact of non agricultural data on the country's monetary policy, the economic effect is sluggish, the US dollar depreciates, and gold prices will rise; If the economic effect increases, the Federal Reserve will tend to raise interest rates, and the US dollar appreciates, then gold prices will fall. Therefore, it is said that small non agricultural data is the expected market trend of non agricultural data.
Yiheng Lunjin's view on the above news is that non farm employment data directly reflects the current employment situation in the United States. We need to understand that if the non farm employment data is good, it indicates that the US economy is improving, and the US dollar index will strengthen, thereby suppressing the price of gold. Internationally, gold is generally traded in US dollars, with the US dollar rising and precious metals such as gold prices falling. On the contrary, if the performance of non farm employment data is poor, then the US dollar will weaken. All investments linked to the US dollar will experience significant fluctuations as a result. So the non agricultural data released every month is an investment opportunity that gold investors cannot miss. By analyzing the non agricultural data from various aspects, we can judge the trend of gold prices and make profits in one fell swoop. Many investors love and hate the arrival of non agricultural markets, both wanting to make a good profit in non agricultural markets and fearing that the market may fluctuate repeatedly. Here, Yiheng briefly introduces some experiences about non agricultural operations, hoping to help everyone.
 ​Analysis of Gold Market:
Golden Week Map DayangKThe line is full, almost bald and barefoot. This week, the inertia will continue to rise, and the daily chart will be completed with positive resultsVType reversal, direct standing1298.50The downward trend has regained its previous losses and reached a new high. The moving average system has turned upward, and the bulls are relatively strong1236.50There is a lack of a correction in the bottom rise, but there is currently no clear signal to stop the rise. We need to take advantage of the trend and slow down the rise first, and it is not advisable to guess the top too early. Even if there is a correction later, it is still a correction in the market. After the correction is completed, bulls will further advance, and the operation is bullish with the trend.
4After experiencing a bottom stop decline in the first two trading days of this week, and then breaking the positive and slowly rising to reverse the bearish position, until last week's accelerated rise and pulling up, the three rhythms of the first wave shape have basically come out. After volume reduction, the short-term upward trend has slowed down. It is estimated that the space will become smaller in the first two trading days of this week, and it will become a consolidation slow rise. Once again, it will go through the previous small brush up and shake, until the emergence of non agricultural data. Currently4hour10The moving average is still a long defensive point, with a strong pullback that cannot be broken10The moving average is still the main bullish. If it breaks below, the short-term correction will need to be seen first, and then arrangements will be made. Last week's continuous short-term bullish trend was also a small gain, although missed1236In the short term of the day, the opportunity for bottoming out is to explore the high and make a small correction. This week's opening still regains the high point1300The upper short term is light and bullish, and if the Asian market directly rises, it will not catch up. After the European market transitions and corrects, it will approach a correction in the US market before entering the long again.
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Suggestions for Gold Operations:
Strategy 1:Radical current price1305Multiple orders entering, stop loss1301, Objective1310,
Strategy 2:Moderator1302Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss1298, Objective1310,
Strategy Three:The above suggestions are for reference only, and more suggestions will be given based on changes in the market.
​Ideas for unwinding gold empty orders:
1、1290Investment friends who are surrounded by short orders in the vicinity can stop losses in a timely manner if there is a pullback. It is impossible for a slow rise market to experience a major pullback, as it may cause you discomfort. Stay tuned in the future1311Suppress the area. If the callback does not break this week1296In the future market, we will actively see through the high points and cannot blindly carry orders. At the same time, we also need to adjust our strategies and methods in a timely manner to get out.
2、1285Investment friends with empty orders and covers below, if your funds are large enough and your position is suitable, it is recommended to call back and pay attention1296Nearby, the market will not break the lockdown and go long. Continue to follow after the rise1300This position, if it continues to fall below1300If there is a short position, it is still a long market and it is not recommended to add positions without restrictions.
3、1258Investment friends who have been trapped in nearby short orders are currently experiencing significant losses. They may blindly hope for a pullback. They can exit some short orders after a slight correction in the market, and with reasonable position control, they can pursue the long position with light positions. If there is a stagflation signal in the market, they can choose to close the short position and make up for multiple orders to lower the overall average price.
For Friday's non farm sector, this is also the only hope for bears. Whether the dust settles or not depends entirely on it. Based on past experience of non farm sectors, in the face of the terrifying situation of sustained economic strength and low unemployment in the United States, the possibility of bearish gold and silver is still high. The specific situation depends on the real-time layout of the day, and whether gold is not hyped up or not depends on whether data like non farm sectors have a nine out of ten victory rate,2018The first non agricultural, also-Henghui personally visited the layout, reviewed all previous information, acted steadily, and had expectations for non agricultural products. We received the empty order2018My friend, Lian-system-also-Heng can obtain comprehensive analysis of non agricultural data on that day.
​Yi Heng's personal viewpoint:
From the current situation, the overall trend is still biased towards bulls, and-From my personal perspective, there is a high possibility that gold will continue to rise after breaking through the thousand three. However, where it will rise will be discussed later, and it may also be disrupted by news or other factors. After all, the only thing that remains unchanged in the market is change, perhaps touching1310It is not impossible for a sudden major correction to occur, and besides the technical aspect, the most influential factors on gold are also the news aspect and institutional crash factors.
Don't tell me how much time I have, everyone-Heng Lun Jin is just because the current market is optimistic about a continuous rise, but it does not mean that bears have no hope. The following is also a commentary on the bullish and bearish factors by Heng Lun Jin:
because2018We also need to consider factors from the Federal Reserve.2018Yellen officially stepped down. Powell followed Yellen's dove policy before, but after stabilizing his position, he suddenly spoke out to strengthen the US economy, which has a boosting effect on the US dollar2018The Federal Reserve will also raise interest rates, and the market will also be affected by the trend of gold due to interest rate hikes. If Powell followed the policies he had proposed, coupled with the certainty of interest rate hikes, gold would also have returned1200Nearby power.
Yiheng believes that the recent market correction and long selling are still the most stable way, and the technical side shows that1300The resistance was very obvious, but yesterday gold surged and many friends stopped losing and were eliminated. also-Heng has repeatedly reminded everyone to take good measures to stop profits and losses, in order to avoid the situation of market reversal and short positions. Long positions are still a trend, with a pullback to long positions and a trend to single.
Yiheng Lunjin emphasized:
How far a person can go depends on who they are walking with; How excellent a person is depends on what kind of friends they have around them; How much success a person can achieve depends on who gives them guidance. To give you a precise suggestion, it's better to give you a correct idea, because the news in the article has lag and timeliness, and the market is constantly changing, making it easy to lose money. What we need to do when reading the article is to learn . also-Teacher Heng is an analyst who enjoys studying the impact of news and technology on the trend of gold. For a long time, I have been tireless in this regard, as this is my major and I need to be responsible for my work and trust, as well as for Teacher Heng's students. After all, none of the students' money was brought by strong winds, which is also my responsibility. In order for us to learn these analytical ideas instead of blindly making orders based on suggestions, we believe through this learning and communication that soon, you won't have to rely on others and you will make your own orders!
This article discusses Jin (Wei) by Yi Heng-letterzyh168zz)Exclusive planning by analysts, please indicate the source for reprinting. The above content is for reference. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market. |
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