国际油价周二(12month26日)盘中强势走高逾2%,因利比亚输油管道遭遇袭击,同时美元承压也为油价带来有效支撑,但消息称英国北海福蒂斯原油管道已经重新测试,有可能在一月完成修复,这可能使得油价涨势受限。WTIcrude oilfuturesIncome increase2.49%Report59.80dollar/桶;原油价格欧-美时段再度走强,美国原油再创12New high since the beginning of the month58.81dollar/桶;时段内有消息爆出,利比亚隶属WAHA原油公司输往ESSIDER中转设施的原油管道发生爆炸,WAHA油田产量下降6-710000 barrels/日;而十二月初,因发现裂缝,北海福蒂斯输油管道关闭;目前该管道尚未修复,利比亚油管又给市场雪上加霜。从日线图来看,油价持续上涨,目前已经顶破了59.5附近阻力,下方受到多根均线支撑,KDJGolden fork operation,MACD也有重新结成金叉的迹象,断交油价有望上探60.5附近阻力,若上破,则看向61美元整数关口附近阻力。下方初步支撑在5Daily moving average59Nearby,20The daily moving average is supported by58.6附近,若意外失守该位置,则增加下行风险,布林线下轨支撑目前在59.2附近,技术形态已经明显转强,59一线压力位轻松破位,最高触及60美元,而且从上周的走势也可以看出市场对OPEC联合减产的利好预期仍在,目前美油产量持续上升的情况还无法对油价形成有效压制,原油短线依然是非常的强劲,所以整体的思路,依然还是要布局多单,不过不建议直接追涨,日内操作上建议等待回撤后进场利润空间会比较大也更稳健。关注上方阻力60.3First line, lower support59.2一线,日线突破布林上轨操作上需要更加合理稳健。
原油:回落59.5-59.6Long on the front line, stop loss59.0, look at the goal60.5
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