NFX 品汇国际：圣诞假期来临美元可能会暂缓跌势

Market Review
　　在周四的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈小幅震荡整理的走势，美元指数最高上涨到93.50, 最低下跌到93.24, closing at93.28。欧美最高上涨到1.18890，最低下跌到1.18500, closing at1.18700。
　　美国最新出炉的经济数据显示，美国三季度GDP终值、个人消费支出、美国初请人数等一连串数据都不及市场预期，美元短线下滑，随后小幅反弹至平盘略上方。与之形成鲜明对比的是，同时公布的加拿大经济数据意外表现强劲，加元兑美元短线暴拉约80点。市场人士目前已经消化了美国税改计划，该计划迄今对美元的影响有限。
　　美元势将创14年来表现最差的一年，但美元中期前景已经变得较华尔街许多人士消化的更为积极。这是因为预期美联储明年将加息，且美国税改计划或多或少能带来一些益处。本周共和党控制的国会已经通过了全面减税方案，这被认为是美国30年来最大规模税改，预计特朗普将很快签署立法。
USD/日元日内触及逾一周高位，因黑田东彦讲话暗示日本央行不急于撤出超宽松货币政策。市场原本预期黑田东彦或暗示宽松政策即将结束。
从技术上来看,美指周四反弹受阻在93.50之下，没有再创最近新低点，收盘在93.28,意味着美元短线有可能出现超跌后的反弹行情出现。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in93.60—93.15Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit20Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.18900---1.18300Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.34200---1.33100Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.99350---0.98550间下限买入，有效破位300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in113.750---113.150Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.77300---0.76700Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.27800---1.26700Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1270.00—1263.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit3USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
　　白银：可以在16.200—16.000Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.10USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 15:00 Germany1monthGfkConsumer confidence index
② 15:45 France Q3GDPAnnual rate final value
③ 16:00 Switzerland12monthKOFEconomic leading indicators
④ 17:30 英国第三季度经常帐、英国第三季度GDPAnnual rate final value
⑤ 21:30 Canada10monthGDPMonthly rate, USA11Monthly durable goods order rate, US11Monthly personal expenditure rate
⑥ 21:30 U.S.A11Monthly CorePCE物价指数月率、美国11Monthly CorePCEAnnual rate of price index
⑦ 23:00 U.S.A11Annualized total monthly new home sales, US12Final Value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for the Month
⑧ undetermined Applefutures在郑商所挂牌交易
⑨ The next day02:00 From the United States to12month22Total number of oil drilling in the current week