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此刻论金:波动点的分析

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此刻论金:波动点的分析


波动是任何投资市场运行的共同特点. 那么,波动有短期和长期之分.
当价格经过一波连续的上涨、处于高位时,只要不是再持续地、连续地上涨,则即会出现反复波动或回探;当经过一轮连续的下跌,只要不是再继续、连续地下挫,则同样会有反复波动或反弹。
In this way, after a continuous and significant rise or fall in the market, it generally requires a process of high or low wide or narrow oscillation, consolidation, and accumulation. Only by going through such a process can there be a big market trend.

再有一种情况就是,在高位或低位上涨或下跌的过程中突然下跌或上涨,急速、快速地下跌或上涨,一般会有一个大的回探或者反弹行情,甚至很大,而且周期可能不会短,即一个长周期的宽幅振荡或过程,这通常预示着前期连续的上涨或下跌行情已经结束,即将反转。如果经过这样的两次振荡反复且后一次的幅度更大,超过前一次最低或最高点,则反转基本可以肯定确认。
(one)The high and wide range oscillation after a significant rise means that the market has ended,About to reverse downwards;
(two)The low-level wide range oscillation after a significant decline also means that the market has ended,About to reverse upwards;

以上行情的特点说明一个问题,或者一个原理。就是市场的反转行情,不管是什么形态,M头、头肩顶等等,均是后人对反转行情特点或者更广泛地说,是对所有行情(所有形态)的一个提炼或者总结。其基本原理就是,当行情在反转时需要一个反复振荡的多头或者空头平仓出货的过程,即多空激烈争夺的一个过程。——这个过程或许在许多情况下或者说在绝大多数情况下未必以一个可以容易识别、清晰可见的、一个可以描述的形态出现,即这个反复振荡的过程是无序的。
This is very important. The form that can be summarized and induced can be said to be a special case of the characteristics of market operation. No matter how many forms there are, after all, they are limited and special cases. The key is to deeply understand, comprehend, and grasp the principle of market operation, rather than mechanically grasping the forms and characteristics of a limited number of market trends. Be flexible and learn from others. Only in this way can we ultimately achieve a state of mastery, ease, and ease of use.
        
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