Yuan Tao's release:12.20美税改顺利通过，黄金原油今日走势分析

Tuesday（12month19日）随着美债收益率强势上升，gold遭受打压，终结连续四个交易日上涨的走势。万众瞩目的美国众议院税改投票结果在周三凌晨出炉，以227票赞成，203票反获得通过。不过，众议院税改投票闹出了“乌龙”，与参议院规则存在冲突，众议院需要进行第二轮投票。


　　crude oil市场方面，北海福蒂斯油气输送管道仍处于关闭状态，持续利好油价走势，美布两油周二收盘上涨。今晨公布的API原油库存、精炼油库存降幅均超预期，汽油库存增幅不及预期，油价进一步上扬。而EIA原油库存报告将于今晚23:30重磅来袭。尽管市场对税改在圣诞节前落地的预期较高，但美元周二仍有所下滑。非美货币涨跌不一，市场对英国脱欧谈判的担忧再度升温，导致英镑承压下滑。


　　此外，美国证监会周二称暂时中止加密货币证券交易，比特币价格由此受到打压。


Analysis of Gold Market


　　黄金日线收十字阴星，昨日早盘小幅下跌后开始震荡上行，欧盘触及1264.8受阻小幅回落，整日处于震荡行情，凌晨税改对黄金影响不大，收盘于1260上方。从4小时图来看，突破前期下降趋势，目前行情正处于上升阶段中，k线运行于布林带中上轨间，布林带开口向下，指标来看，MACD指标两线走平，红色动能微微放量。Sto指标两线在高位粘合，多头释放，黄金有望继续走强趋势，上方阻力位1268and1275, lower support position1256and1250，日内操作上建议回调做多为主

Recommendations for Gold Operations


　　1Callback1260Nearby, stop loss3, Objective1265破位上看；


　　2Beautiful Gold1263Multiple, stop loss3, Objective1268Breaking through and looking up


Analysis of crude oil market


　　原油昨日线收阳线，亚欧盘企稳于57.20震荡上行，美盘受阻57.6Fallback57.28附近反弹，凌晨API数据利多，美国上周原油库存意外减少520万桶，刺激WTI原油价格进一步走高。已经连续5周出现美国原油库存减少，而汽油库存增加的情况；若库欣油库存能得到进一步确定，原油库存料将结束5连降。上探57.8Fallback57.6附近收盘，从4From an hourly perspective,k线运行于布林带中上轨间，布林带开口走平，短线有反弹需求，从指标来看，RSI中部拐头向上，Stoch指标运行高位，指标显示原油偏向调整的概率大，操作上建议高沽低渣即可，上方关注57.8-58.4First line pressure level, follow below56.8-57一线支撑位，重点关注晚间23：30EIAdata

Recommendations for crude oil operations


　　1, unbreakable57.8Near empty, stop loss0.4, Objective57.2-56.8


　　2Callback57.2Nearby, stop loss0.4, Objective57.6


Message:


One Center: Focus First - Maintain a correct investment attitude, make up your mind to survive in the market for a long time without being eliminated, be not greedy or hasty, and effectively leverage the power of compound interest.


Two key points: follow the trend with strict self-discipline, and repeat the cycle through long-term analysis


Three principles: obey rules and grasp trends; Portfolio investment, continuous consistency; Strictly manage and control risks.


Five qualities: knowledge, courage, patience, self-discipline, and health.


Characteristic: Inner cultivation has risen to the top priority at this stage!


Wen/Yuan Tao Jiepan（ytjp390）