Ouyang Fengcheng:12.15原油减产过后难寻支撑上行受限，后市如何？

　　早上好，为什么做投资，目的肯定只有一个赚钱。肯定有很多人，只是一味的道听途说投资crude oil现货投资比较好赚钱，就匆匆的进入这个市场，但是想过应该怎么赚钱没有，不要一味的觉得找个喊单厉害的老师，带我赚钱。从来不自己想想，自己该学习什么知识，该怎么的融入这个市场。成功不是终点，失败也不是终结，我是欧阳枫诚。
　　
　　—高产限制价格空间—

　　

　　周三公布的EIAData display, as of12month8日当周，美国原油库存减少约510万桶，远超预期降幅，同时上周美国主要原油交割地库欣地区库存减少约330万桶。目前美国原油总库存为4.443亿桶，处于历年来平均水平中段，不过上周美国原油产量增加7.310000 barrels to97810000 barrels/日，再创纪录新高，且进一步接近俄罗斯和沙特产量水平。美原油产量维持在高位，就是对油价的一种打压
　　
On the other hand,OPEC11Reduced monthly crude oil production13.3510000 barrels to324510000 barrels/日，为六个月内最低水平。但预计非OPEC产油国原油产量在2018年将增长近10010000 barrels/日，意味着原油市场可能在2018年底前都无法重归均衡，这令市场情绪遭受打压。欧阳认为在再减产协议之后，油价没有了其他的因素的支撑，加上美原油的高产也在限制油价的上涨空间。
　　
　　—短线难寻支撑，再难上行—
　　
　　原油就目前来看是一个高位震荡的走势，上行通道逐渐走平，长期来看原油将陷入53-60的大区间震荡，再次期间我们需要目前需要关注前低55.7，今日下探支撑并未破位说明下方支撑较强，短线暂无破位的危险，近期可以依托此位做多，但中长线来看原油自42一线起涨一路飙升至59一线，多头力量消耗殆尽，还需回调蓄力再去考虑冲高，虽说短线现无破位支撑的可能，但中线来看依旧处于一个空头趋势中，也就是说我们现在操作思路上欧阳建议反弹空为主。

　　

　　日内关注上方阻力57.6-57.8First line, lower support55.7as well as56.5两个位置，操作上建议反弹空为主。
　　
　　至于原油套单被套的，现在我们关注56的支撑。有回调我们就出低位追的空单，然后来补多单，反弹56.8-57区间，多单出局，要是跌破下面支撑，后面空单顺势跟进，对于空单来说是扩大利润的机会，对于多单，是锁单，到了下一个支撑位附近，观望、解锁、获利出局。锁单的前提是多单位置不是特别高，若是位置比较高的多单可以单线联系欧阳。
　　
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