李文财：12.13避险情绪给了黄金多头喘息机会，今日依旧高空

The person who sows with tears may not necessarily reap with a smile, but may also die with injustice. The greatest sorrow in life is to give you wings, but not let you fly. The greatest sorrow in trading is that you have seen the market trend accurately, but have not dared to do so. Victory is not about defeating the market, but learning to improve oneself. Even if you are not a scholar, you may still exist, which is called a walking corpse. If you always want to climb to the sky and become rich overnight, then you will inevitably fall to pieces and investgoldcrude oilThe most precious qualities are not being tired of thinking, not predicting, not being arrogant, not being clever, giving up on oneself, and keeping up with the pace of the market.

　　本周到了最关键的时刻，又是超级周行情，市场必将掀起“惊涛骇浪”。三大央行决议聚首，周三的美联储利率决议，北京时间是周四凌晨。另外，周四欧洲央行与英国央行，也将宣布利率决议，还有“恐怖数据”之称的零售销售数据。美联储加息一事基本已经板上钉钉，而且明年还将加息四次，这对黄金而言无疑是泰山压顶般的压力。而且随着美国经济的逐渐好转，预计周五的零售数据也将十分靓丽，可以说黄金的后市十分堪忧。今日凌晨，黄金下方支撑再次被破，一度触及1236.3一线。后半夜美国国务卿蒂勒森表示：对朝鲜的制裁造成其燃料价格大涨、部分商品供应短缺，制裁正在生效。预计朝鲜目前在导弹及核项目上正取得进展，美国对朝鲜作出强有力且充分的军事准备，但也准备好随时与朝鲜谈话，需要朝鲜方面回到谈判桌，并表示其希望作出不同选择。受避险情绪的英雄，黄金多头得以喘息，自低点1236.3一线一路反弹至1244.8Frontline, closing1244.2。不过众所周知，避险情绪的延续性并不强，周四凌晨还将迎来加息一事，所以今日还是以高空操作为主。

　　技术面上，四小时级别上看，金价同样处于一个下跌趋势中，价格处于布林带中下轨，布林带有略微缩口趋势，MA5、MA10逐渐走平，MA20依然向下维持下行状态上方处于压力位1252附近，灵动指标sto快K%下穿慢D%形成死亡交叉拐头向下运行将下行行穿过数值20，MACD红色动能柱微微缩量，双线金叉上行状态中，但DIFF逐渐走平可能会出现拐头，RSI指标死叉下行将下穿超卖区20数值之下。黄金价格在亚盘小幅反弹，我们首要关注上方1246-1250一线阻力，这里也是昨日反弹高点和我们进空的位置。昨日晚间金价下破1240一线，下跌到1236得到支撑后反弹，那么金价还将延续弱势，亚盘早市虽然反弹测试阻力，但不是上涨的迹象，行情往往会在整理之后，欧盘走弱延续下跌，上方第一阻力位置在1246一线，往上防守位置是1250一线。今日依旧看空思路不变，上方关注1246Frontline resistance level, pay attention below1235Support position.


　　给你一个神准的建议，不如给你一个正确的思路，建议赚一时，思路学会赚一世！投资改变生活！做单三大要素：1、趋势为王，顺势而为，逆势为亡；2、轻仓入场逐步加仓，可以避免突发行情的损失；3Every transaction must have a strict stop loss, and do not arbitrarily amplify or not set a stop loss.


Author/Li Wenchai (official WeChat account:lwc540179821）