郭景运：超级央行周12.12，黄金是否重蹈多年覆辙，晚间走势操作策略分析及解套

[paragraph]writing/郭景运
———导语
上帝为你关上一扇窗，就会为你打开一道门。别总问我能否带你盈利？你先告诉我，你要不要大赚一笔！
面对来势汹汹的超级央行周，许多投机客正以惊人的速度减持gold，空头增仓速度则刷新纪录。据统计，黄金在美联储12月议息当周的走势也有规律可循，这样做单的胜率高达八成，但有一点一定要注意...... 有一个利多信号不容忽视！
----回顾黄金历史走势----
   景运在这里给大家普及一下，年底往往是黄金市场的阶段性谷底！在2013年，金价底部出现在12month30Day2014年出现在11month3Day2015年出现在11month30Day2016年出现在12month12日。在这些底部诞生后，黄金市场往往能在次年的一季度爆发。在2013and2014年年末触底后的反弹持续了10周，而前年和去年的触底反弹更是持续了16Zhou.
今年，金价是否会重演这种走势呢？MatrixtradeAnalyst forAndrew McEloryRecently, onSeeking Alpha发表评论称，前两年在美联储于12月加息之后，黄金价格都出现上涨，因此这一次也不应该害怕央行。他表示：
On2015Year and2016年，金价在12月的低点也与美联储加息相符。加息之前的持续抛售，加之情绪过度悲观，导致后来的重大逆转。”
Andrew McElory认为同样的情形会再次出现，因黄金现交投于四个多月来的最低水平，较9月高点下跌逾7%。他认为，1250to1260美元区间是一个不错的入场点。黄金的历史走势也印证了这一点，金价通常会在1Month and2月份迎来爆发。因此，在议息当周做空黄金可能只是比较好的短线策略。在议息结果公布后，市场“买消息卖事实”的反应，可能会在短期内修复金价跌势。

----空头如此猖獗，黄金本周能否绝地求生----
本周初开盘，黄金在略微的反弹之后，看似涨势之大，实则平淡无奇，午间上涨至52附近，在难以前行，值得庆幸的是，早间景运在文中《郭景运：12.11晨报美联储加息，四大央行联手，黄金crude oil操作分析策略附解套》中建议大家逢高做空，跟上操作的朋友都已经获利让他们出局了，原油也是如此56.8附近多单进场现在正盈利中，两单全中
           
----黄金日间行情走势分析----
周线以大阴线跌破1260Structural support, and physical breaking to form a bearish trend, daily self touching1297The initial downward trend continues, with the daily chart breaking below1260At the beginning, we walked on the path of1357In the downward wave shape at the starting point, if this time1306到目前为止是三浪下跌，那么也就意味着后市即将会有四浪反弹，1240As an important support for the short term, it is currently an important support to pay attention to in short-term operations, breaking through levels1240则跟随顺势继续看空，四小时线下降趋势线一直在打压行情持续下挫，目前四小时线反弹快接近布林带中轨，小时线布林带走平，是时候选择方向的时候，大结构偏空运行，短线受到结构点位支撑，面临反弹修复，今日短线在持续反弹后，目前短线回落，晚间关注1260Structural point suppression, focus below1240一线重要支撑，预计行情会在此区间内运行，反弹1260Below is mainly empty, falling back1240上方以多为主，短线操作上以高空为主，低多为辅的操作思路！
         
----Gold operation suggestions----
短线：1250Void1255Look at the target below1245，1240
----黄金多空解单----
　　1There is Chasing Kong in hand1244Friends who haven't had a chance to sell nearby empty orders don't have to worry too much. The market is currently declining, and the Federal Reserve is also12Interest rate hikes are imminent, but the overall market is still bearish. Either patiently wait for a pullback to break even and be eliminated first, or make up positions to lower the average price and make overall profits after a pullback;
　　2As for the1255-1260For friends who have multiple orders, in order to reduce the pressure on funds, they will reduce their positions every time they are high. After each reduction, they will use the same profit to make up for it, and in the end, there will be a small loss handling fee. The advantage of this is that there are not so many green numbers and orders in your position.
　　3、1260The ones above are even higher, and currently they seem to be very deep. So what should we do? Then the only way to first control the risk is to use rebound lock loss methods, because this point cut is more painful. Unless you really want a faster method and prioritize the small for the big, it will be even harder for you to get your order. This is not only courage but also wisdom.

以上建议仅供参考，文章具有滞后性，具体点位实盘为准，合理控制好仓位，切勿重仓或满仓操作，做单严格止损止盈

编稿：郭景运  
  +V:gjy069
2017/12/12