Ouyang Fengcheng:12.12加息已是板上钉钉，黄金跌到何时才是头？

　　晚上好，本以为今晚平平淡淡过完周初，但不想晚间暴跌，欧阳布局1251Empty orders in1249一线加仓，成功在1246.7一线获利出局，日间小有盈利，我是欧阳枫诚，我的团队等待你的加入。
　　
　　—加息临近，“超级周”会跌到何方？—
　　
　　刚刚经历完惊险一周，又到周一开启新的布局，上周非农数据公布后，虽说因为周四将利空因素释放殆尽，导致gold整体波动不过十美金，但是纵观整周走势，从最高1280到最低1243一线，接近40美金的跌幅，趋势看准，把握住了，利润还是很可观的，但是对于方向判定不准的话，在一步一跌的行情中，被套爆仓者也不少，本周央行超级周来临，投资者能否及时脱身，新的一周来临，该如何重新布局?欧阳在文中一一解答

　　

　　本周，美国将于周三(12month13day)publish11monthCPI，美联储将于北京时间周四(12month14day)before dawn3:00公布利率决议。
　　
　　在加息问题上，欧阳了解到，目前外界普遍认为今年第三次加息几乎已是“板上钉钉”。预计美联储将把利率上调25Bps to1.25-1.50%。届时，美联储还将更新经济预估，其对2018年利率的预期将备受瞩目。根据美联储最近一次发布的点阵图，2018年料加息3次，而加息过后欧阳认为黄金将会筑底回升。
　　
　　—黄金技术分析—
　　
　　黄金一直是完美的运行在结构走势中，首先自1357开始的下跌走势，刚好触及前一波段1204-1357回落的61.8Location of1260附近止跌反弹，并且拉升力度较强，随后触及1306再度大幅度走低，日线级别1260一直起到一个多空分界线的作用，也是多头最后的防守点位看，跌破此位那么行情至少会到达1240或者更深度的回踩，加上近期美联储加息的预期，在持续刺激美指走高，那么间接性的会促使黄金承压下挫，近期要关注阶段性的重要支撑位于1240一线，而此位一旦失守，则黄金大结构空头走势相会延续！

　　

　　短线来看，黄金上方阻力在1252-1255这个位置，短线支撑在下方1243-1240一线，在加息公布前欧阳建议区间高空为主，多单依旧暂不考虑。尾盘操作上1248Short on the front line, stop loss1252，目标下方1244Near.
　　
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