Golden Channel Win ：晚评12.11黄金原油行情分析及操作建议

　　国际消息面解析：

　　上周五，美国劳工部公布的11月非农报告喜忧参半。美国11月新增非农就业人数为22.8Ten thousand people, exceeding expectations20万人，而失业率则持稳在4.1%。11月非农数据靓丽，进一步推动了美元指数和美国股市走高。不过，受助于11月非农就业报告中疲弱的薪资增速数据，上周五金价微幅收涨。

　　从上周的整体情况来看，因美国税改取得进展点燃了市场对美国经济的乐观预期，gold遭受重挫。同时，比特币的惊人涨势也在一定程度上打压了金价。比特币上周上涨近40%, creating2013年以来最大单周涨幅。不过，在一轮迅猛上涨之后，比特币进入连日回调阶段。上周日，据比特币报价平台Bitfinex，比特币日内跌近15%, falling below13000美元关口。宫 Heavy consumption Gold Channel Win

　　展望本周，市场将焦点转向了美联储将于本周四公布的利率决议，黄金多头寄望于本周美联储进行鸽派加息。不过，本周黄金市场看空情绪极度高涨。据彭博社上周五公布的最新调查显示，由于美联储本周料将启动今年的第三次加息，逾半数接受调查的黄金交易员与分析师看空下周金价走势，为至少自2015year4月以来之最悲观。在接受调查的13Among gold traders and analysts,8People are bearish(62%)，2People are bullish(15%)，3People see fairness(23%)。威.core jt827827

Gold market analysis:

　　上周五非农数据出来以后黄金波幅并不大，晚上黄金上下浮动更多是受两拨买卖盘影响，非农的利空对黄金短线的空头没起到推波助澜的作用。现在黄金整体的趋势并没有发生改变，依旧是处于空头之中，下方还是先看低点1243附近支撑，非农利空行情也是走在1243附近，然后短线进行反抽，说明1243附近支撑依然有效，那么后面黄金空头能否延续，主要是看此位的破位情况了，上方阻力先看四小时线均线MA10附近于1252附近位置，上破再看1256阻力，今日黄金我们依旧围绕1252阻力布局空单。威.core jt827827

Golden Operation Strategy:

　　1Suggestions1252Short nearby, stop loss4USD, target1245Near.

　　2Suggestions1243Long nearby, stop loss4USD, target1254Near.

　　crude oilMarket analysis:

　　原油前期的上涨趋势线已经下破，下破回抽后逢高参与空头为主。从4Looking at the hourly line, the oil price has hit since then55.8Since the beginning,KThe line continues to rise with positive momentum and returns to trading below the upper track of the Bollinger Belt, driven by this wave of upward momentumMA5Strong upper wearMA30Crossover operation and alignment with the middle rail56.8The front line forms support, and currently the middle rail of the Bolin Belt runs smoothly,4小时震荡运行。综合来看，油价日内走出一波触底反弹，日线收阴概率较大。短线走势看好反弹测试57.80阻力，不破还是会回调测试56.80支撑，任意一边突破都可以短线追击。重点关注上方一线阻力58.0，下方一线支撑56.5。威.core jt827827

　　原油操作策略：　　

　　1Suggestions56.7Long nearby, stop loss3USD, target57.5Near.

　　2Suggestions57.9Short nearby, stop loss3USD, target57.3Near.

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