Ouyang Fengcheng:12.11钻井再度增加限制上行空间，需求量提供支撑

　　—crude oil需求带来有效支撑—
　　
　　本周油价经历了触底反弹的走势，虽然周五（12month9日）受助于中国原油需求不断上升和非洲最大原油出口国的原油工人的罢工威胁，上涨近2%，但美国原油futures本周周线下跌1.7%，布伦特原油期货周线下降0.5%，因市场担心美国产量不断上升，可能损及石油输出国组织(OPEC)牵头的减产协议带来的影响。

　　

　　中国原油进口增长抵消美国原油库存报告的利空影响，原油需求面的强劲表现料将继续为油价带来有效支撑，不过美元继续走高以及美国石油活跃钻井数再度增加限制了油价的上行空间。
　　
　　目前来看，美国原油产量的不断上升将对市场上的原油和产品价格造成冲击，因为市场已经严重倾斜，可能很容易遭到抛售，增产持续施压油价。油价暂时的上涨是对此前油价大幅下跌的修正，从技术上看，油价走势仍非常疲弱。
　　
　　—支撑强劲回调就是多—
　　
United StatesWTI1月期货上周五(12month8day)Income increase0.67USD, or1.18%Report57.36dollar/桶，上周下跌1.83%. Brent crude oil2月期货上周五收涨1.20USD, or1.93%Report63.40dollar/桶，上周下跌0.64%。中国原油进口增长抵消美国原油库存报告的利空影响，原油需求面的强劲表现料将继续为油价带来有效支撑，不过美元继续走高以及美国石油活跃钻井数再度增加限制了油价的上行空间。

    原油自确立59关口阻力，连续下行走出的空间不大，回撤最低56附近，上周五原油虽然意外的走强，但是多头并未走太远在57.8附近受阻后回落，从目前的走势来看，上周五反弹后在57.8区域形成新的阻力位，加之上方还有59高点强阻力，因此短期油价可能陷入高位震荡，重点关注上方57.8One line of resistance, pay attention below56.5一线支撑，今日操作上建议回调做多为主。其后具体操作由欧阳实盘给出。
　　
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