郭景运:12.10-11黄金下周美联储加息操作见解分析及解套

[paragraph]writing/郭景运




———导语
上帝为你关上一扇窗，就会为你打开一道门。别总问我能否带你盈利？你先告诉我，你要不要大赚一笔！

2017年最后一次非农，在万众瞩目中落下帷幕，gold走势却实在不敢让人恭维，连10The fluctuation of the US dollar is not significant. Non agricultural data, the published value is greater than the expected value and less than the previous value, which is consistent with my expected analysis. After the data was released, gold was once again traded in large quantities, leading to an upward trend in gold prices3USD to1250附近后，快速下挫至1243.49Then rebounded more than8USD to1252frontline.
                 上周带户盈利部分截图



----黄金一周回顾----
本周空头趋势明显，开盘后几乎没有走反弹，多头于1280下方止步。周一录得一根小阳线；周二则直接下破1270支撑以大阴线收盘；周三行情低位震荡修正以小阴线收盘；周四则再次大阴线下挫，直接下破1260as well as1250关口，跌至1240区域，尾盘虽有反弹，但最终日线录得一根大阴线；周五金价波动幅度不大，日线以十字线收盘于1247.71dollar/盎司。与此同时，周线则录得一根大阴线，直接贯穿1270、1260as well as1250三道强支撑，触及布林带下轨
----下周行情解析----
下周四大央行联手登场，美联储、欧洲央行，英国央行，瑞士央行均将公布最新利率决议，美联储主席耶伦也将在此次会后公布新闻发布会，料将给市场带来一场“腥风血雨”的动荡。耶伦在年内最后一次证词中表示，美联储应渐进式加息，并且当前经济形势符合加息条件，同时，候任美联储主席鲍威尔也在讲话当中表示，支持美联储渐进式加息，所以下周的美联储加息几乎是板上钉钉的事情。还有一点需要我们额外的关注一下，那就是特朗普承认耶路撒冷为以色列首都这一消息，美国这一决定很容易打破中东地区目前的短暂和平，届时将对黄金构成利多！
对于美联储加息，我们的态度和观点是一贯的，加息确认之前黄金以空头运行为主，但在加息确认后一段时间内看行情见底开启单边上涨，所以现在我们就不能再无脑的追空了，在加息之前反弹做空才是王道，下方重点关注1232支撑，这里也是我们最理想入场中线多单的位置。短期支撑先关注1244-1243，这里是周四低点以及昨天二次的位置，当前存在一定的支撑，进一步是1240-1239Here is1357-1125做黄金分割之50%位置，也是当前重要的支撑位置。上方压力来看，目前继续关注1252这里，周五刺破后收回，这里阻力有效，进一步则是1258-1260一线。下周初操作上，1260下方可逢高做空，具体建议可看景运下周的实盘分析。近期具体波段多单入场请大家关注笔者景运理财的提示，以实际信号和入场提示为主。
----5浪下跌，加息后，黄金将迎来抄底契机----
从日线来看，日内完成了5浪下跌的过程，目前正处于第五浪下跌的过程，那么5浪完成之后，将完成驻底，所以趋势来看，宣布加息后，极有可能完成驻底，黄金将迎来抄底契机。

----反弹不过趋势下跌压力，黄金下周短线继续放空----
4小时来看黄金顺势下跌，形成完好的下跌趋势线，周五非农冲高也只不过触及1252一线，承压于趋势线，那么下周趋势比较明朗，依托趋势压力1250放空即可。

----核心思路----
下周黄金依旧看空，趋势上考虑1220附近见底。
----Operation suggestions----
趋势：中线空单1225附近了结。
短线：1250Void1255, Objective1240

----黄金多空解单----
　　1There is Chasing Kong in hand1244Friends who haven't had a chance to sell nearby empty orders don't have to worry too much. The market is currently declining, and the Federal Reserve is also12Interest rate hikes are imminent, but the overall market is still bearish. Either patiently wait for a pullback to break even and be eliminated first, or make up positions to lower the average price and make overall profits after a pullback;
　　2As for the1255-1260For friends who have multiple orders, in order to reduce the pressure on funds, they will reduce their positions every time they are high. After each reduction, they will use the same profit to make up for it, and in the end, there will be a small loss handling fee. The advantage of this is that there are not so many green numbers and orders in your position.　　3、1260The ones above are even higher, and currently they seem to be very deep. So what should we do? Then the only way to first control the risk is to use rebound lock loss methods, because this point cut is more painful. Unless you really want a faster method and prioritize the small for the big, it will be even harder for you to get your order. This is not only courage but also wisdom.


编稿：郭景运  
     +V♥：gjy069
    2017/12/10