12.5：黄金原油偏弱势整理，日内反弹做空试探支撑

The market is ruthless. If you have no understanding of the market and do not know the most basic analytical knowledge and skills, you blindly enter the market. For this type of investor, I am both distressed and angry. This type of investor is like going to war without wearing armor, and the consequences are unimaginable. It not only hurts your body, heart, and money. For those who work in the financial industry8For me over the years, although I often stay up late until the early morning4Dian is still analyzing and discussing with the client this morning6Point is also concerned about the customer's revenue situation, and data analysis and drawing are a very complex and tedious task. However, every time the accuracy of repeated confirmation and careful review brings benefits to the customer, that sense of satisfaction is completely replaced by boring data. Every time the customer's praise and heartfelt gratitude are the greatest spiritual comfort for me, and it is also the driving force behind my countless sleepless nights and sleepless nights in the future.

　　

　　美联储将在下周召开年内最后一次政策会议，并且，不出意外的话，将进行今年第三次加息。按规定，在政策会议前一周，美联储各位官员将被禁止继续对外界就政策观点发声，此便是所谓的“噤声期”。
　　
　　本周开盘，美元指数出现报复性上涨，大幅跳空高开后最高涨，gold昨日早间开盘也是跳空低开1270.89附近，其实对于黄金走空头是在加息前走预期，也就说当下的这种情况，而真正的加息之后，黄金会走短暂的回调或者直接走震荡修正，然后迎来反转，而且其涨幅远远的大于下跌，所以目前时间点是加息前走预来看跌黄金的最好时机。
　　
　　黄金方面：目前的趋势来看，金价还是处于下行的趋势，但是近期美元也是偏向弱势的空头中，而加息影响也是左右反复中，因此对于金价还是一个暂看区间性的走势。日线来看，近期金价缓涨急跌，空头较为强势。1270作为近期低点，可视为多空分界点。若跌破则以逢高做空为主;若企稳有金价可能会启动反弹。4小时图来看，黄金4小时周期突破上升结构，目前处于震荡走势中。从MACD的大趋势来看，绿柱缩短是大趋势，也就是说目前的增长只是短时间的效果，后市绿柱望继续缩短，带动黄金反弹。综合来看：重点关注上方1280One line of resistance, pay attention below1270一线支撑。操作上鼎缘建议反弹做空为主。有套单的朋友，可咨询本人，由于笔者鼎缘聚福不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况，不好给出相应的解套策略，需要解套的可单线联系我唯心：YJYS95

　　

　　crude oil方面：欧佩克宣布延长减产协议后有效改善了市场情绪，同时美元走弱也为油价提供了进一步支撑，油价上周五盘中续升近2%，但“通俄门”最新消息还是动摇了市场信心，加之美国石油活跃钻井数连续第二周录得上升且触及9月来最高，油价自近两年半高位回落。日线级别中，上周五以上引线的阳柱收尾，结合前两个交易日的收线，是试探布林带中轨支撑走出反抽上涨，5Daily moving average and10日均线向上拐角运行，给出支撑看涨的信号。4小时周期目前强势拉线出现，但是在拉线的第一条阳线之后就出现阴线，这是非常不利于拉线形态的结果，也就是说4小时空头信号有一定的概率，MACD上明显支持多头。综合来看：重点关注上方58.4One line of resistance, pay attention below57.0一线支撑。操作上鼎缘建议高位做空，低位做多即可。

　　

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