Yuan Tao's release:12.1美国引领全球加息，黄金承压能否顶住

　gold要闻：


　　德国商业银行中国首席经济学家周浩指出，韩国央行跟进美联储加息节奏符合市场预期，马来西亚和菲律宾央行也可能在未来几个月加息。未来一年中国央行“去杠杆”等加息举措也将持续。全球加息潮对金价产生利空，投资者也正好借机观察下金价能否在重要点位获得支撑。金价若能够短期内企稳，说明强势依旧，未来上涨可能大增。影响金价的重要因素为美国的劳动生产率，虽然美国的数据依然向上，但是和欧洲和日本的差距正在缩小。


Gold Market Analysis


　　黄金日线收阴，自周初受阻1303.6回落，高点不断下移，低点不断创新低，几乎掩盖了前面的所有涨幅，目前处于上行通道中运行，布林带开口走平，附图指标MACD欲形成死叉，从4小时线上看，金价的连续震荡下行使得黄金空头占据主要优势，昨日美盘直接拉下一根大阴线，随着晚间的下跌，四小时跌破布林带下轨，并且Stoch指标死叉向下，小时线短期的上升趋势线被打破，短线将会面临调整，从1小时图看，布林带缩口，金价运行于布林带下轨上方，附图指标MACD形成金叉，延续昨日的下跌继续惯性下行，日内关注上方1282Resistance, pay attention below1270的支撑，操作上建议高空为主。

Gold02Operation suggestions


　　1Callback1276Nearby, stop loss3, Objective1281；


　　2Rebound1282Near empty, stop loss3, Objective1274


　　crude oilquotations analysis


　　原油昨日亚欧盘震荡至58一线受阻，美盘大幅回落，最低到达56.8一线，尾盘继续反弹。昨日原油57.6Empty, target57-56.8完美获利，日线上来看，油价虽整体处于上涨形态，不过上涨的过程中也会伴随着一定的回调，此前油价自58Callback to55，然后从55开始上涨，探高至59后，日线首次出现了中阴回调的K线形态，日线收十字星，4Looking at the hourly chart,k线运行于布林带中下轨间，布林带开口向下，均线MA5、MA10andMA20日均线拐头向下运行，另MA5andMA10日均线形成死叉，预计短期内反弹不会再出高点，短线继续看好回调趋势。小时线上布林带目前进入收口，短线上走区间震荡的趋势，关注上下方的突破情况。日内关注上方58.2Resistance, pay attention below56.8的支撑，操作上建议高空为主

Recommendations for crude oil operations


　　1Rebound57.8Near empty, stop loss0.4, Objective57；


　　2Falling back57Nearby, stop loss0.3, Objective57.6


Message:


One Center: Focus First - Maintain a correct investment attitude, make up your mind to survive in the market for a long time without being eliminated, be not greedy or hasty, and effectively leverage the power of compound interest.


Two key points: follow the trend with strict self-discipline, and repeat the cycle through long-term analysis


Three principles: obey rules and grasp trends; Portfolio investment, continuous consistency; Strictly manage and control risks.


Five qualities: knowledge, courage, patience, self-discipline, and health.


Characteristic: Inner cultivation has risen to the top priority at this stage!


Wen/Yuan Tao Jiepan（ytjp390）