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NFX 品汇国际:特朗普税改力助美元继续反弹

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Market Review
  在周二的foreign exchange市场上,美元继续呈反弹的走势,美元指数最高上涨到93.34, 最低下跌到92.83, closing at93.27。欧美最高上涨到1.19190,最低下跌到1.18270, closing at1.18360
Federal Reserve(FED)候任主席鲍威尔日内在参议院金融委员会的听证会无疑是本交易日乃至本周的焦点。鲍威尔周二在事先准备好的国会证词中表示,他希望支持“强劲的就业市场”和“全面”的经济复苏。同时鲍威尔暗示美联储可能在12月再度加息。在此之际,美元回升至93关口上方。此外,日内出炉的美国11月消费者信心急升至近17年高位,为美元提供了进一步支撑。
  另一方面,参议院预算委员会周二批准了共和党的税收法案,这是本周晚些时候参议院全体。如果美指今天回调在92.95之上投票表决的关键程序步骤。随着共和党在12-11投票中推进该计划,共和党人克服了在年底前为企业和个人减税所面临的一个可能的障碍。
  周二消息人士透露,英国已经和欧盟就退欧分手费问题达成一致,这为英镑带来利好影响。消息传出后,英镑兑美元从低点强势反弹。
从技术上来看,美指周二突破5日均线的阻力,反弹受阻在10、60日均线之下,收盘在93.27,意味着美元短线回调整理以后仍然有向上反弹的空间受到brace,后市反弹的目标将会指向93.45—93.65。如果美指今天回落跌破92.80的话,汇价继续下跌到92.50的可能性就要增大了。今天美指短线阻力在93.40—93.45Short term important resistance93.60—93.65。今天美指短线bracestay92.95—93.00,短线重要bracestay92.65—92.70。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in93.45—92.95Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.18900---1.18000Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.34300---1.32700Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.98650---0.98150区间下限买入,有效破位300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in112..000---111.100Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.76200---0.75800Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit200Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.28400---1.27700Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
  gold: Can be found in the1296.00—1286.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
  白银:可以在17.000—16.700Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.15USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 17:00 Switzerland11monthZEWInvestor confidence index
② 17:30 britain10Monthly central bank mortgage loan permit
③ 18:00 eurozone11月经济、工业景气指数、欧元区11Final value of monthly consumer confidence index
④ 21:00 Germany11monthCPIInitial monthly rate
⑤ 21:30 US Q3 ActualGDP年化季率修正值、纽约联储主席杜德利讨论经济问题
⑥ 22:00 英国央行行长卡尼在英国央行商品顾问组(FMSB)发表讲话
⑦ 23:00 U.S.A10月成屋签约销售指数月率、美联储主席耶伦就美国经济前景发表证词陈述
⑧ 23:30 From the United States to11month24Day and WeekEIAcrude oilstock
⑨ The next day03:00 Federal Reserve Announces Economic Situation Brown Book
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