Crossing the Sea 2017year11month24day (Gold)

Crossing the Sea

2017

year

11

month

24

day

Focus this week:
11month24day(Friday)
U.S.A11monthMarkitcomprehensivePMIinitial value
U.S.A11monthMarki制造业购PMIinitial value
U.S.A11monthMarki服务业购PMIinitial value

11month27day(Monday)
U.S.A10Monthly sales of new houses

11month28day(Tuesday)
U.S.A10Monthly Building Permit Revision
U.S.A10Initial value of monthly commodity trade balance
U.S.A10Initial monthly wholesale inventory rate
U.S.A9monthFHFA房屋价格
U.S.A9monthCaseShillerHouse Price Index
U.S.A11Monthly Consumer Confidence Index
U.S.A11Monthly Richmond Fed Composite Manufacturing Index

11month29day(Wednesday)
Initial commercial profit for the third quarter in the United States
Season 3 in the United StatesGDPRevised month on month annual rate
美国第三季消费者支出修订
Season 3 in the United StatesGDP平减指数修订
Season 3 in the United StatesPCE物价指数修订
U.S.A10Monthly Housing Pending Sales Index

11month30day(Thursday)
U.S.A10Monthly actual personal expenditure rate
U.S.A10Monthly personal income rate
U.S.A10Monthly personal expenditure rate
U.S.A10monthPCEprice index
Number of weekly initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States
U.S.A11Month ChicagoPMI

12month1day(Friday)
U.S.A11monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIFinal value
U.S.A10Monthly construction expenditure rate
U.S.A11monthISMmanufacturingPMI



Important economic data released today:  
17：00 Germany11monthIfoEnterprise Prosperity Index‧forecast116.6‧Previous value116.7
17：00 Germany11monthIfoCurrent situation index‧forecast125.0‧Previous value124.8
17：00 Germany11monthIfoExpected index‧forecast108.9‧Previous value109.1
17：00 Italy9月经季节调整工业订单月率‧Previous value+8.7%
17：00 Italy9月未经季节调整工业订单年率‧Previous value+12.2%
17：00 Italy9月经季节调整工业销售月率‧Previous value+2.0%
17：00 Italy9月未经季节调整工业销售年率‧Previous value+3.4%
17：30 britain10monthUK FINANCENumber of approved mortgage loans‧Previous value41.584Thousand pieces
22：45 U.S.A11monthMarkitComprehensive Purchasing Manager Index(PMI)initial value‧Previous value55.2
22：45 U.S.A11monthMarki制造业购经理人指数(PMI)initial value‧forecast54.8‧Previous value54.6
22：45 U.S.A11monthMarki服务业购经理人指数(PMI)initial value‧Previous value55.3



News of the Week
Monday/特朗普宣布朝鲜为支持恐怖主义国家，并将扩大制裁
耶伦将在鲍威尔宣誓就任下任FED主席后辞去理事职务

Tuesday/耶伦：通胀应该会回升，但美联储并不确定
耶伦称要应对未来可能出现的负面冲击，加息是关键

U.S.A10月领先指标上升1.2%
U.S.A10Monthly sales growth of completed houses2.0%At an annual rate of54810000 households
Philadelphia Fed 11月非制造业指数降至19.3
密歇根大学11The final value of the monthly US Consumer Confidence Index is98.5
U.S.A10月扣除国防的耐久财订单下降0.8%
U.S.A10月扣除飞机的非国防资本财订单较前月下降0.5%
U.S.A10月扣除运输的耐久财订单较前月增长0.4%
U.S.A10月耐久财订单较前月下降1.2%
美国一周初请失业金人数降至23.9ten thousand people


11month23day
LondongoldMorning order price:1290.15
London gold afternoon fixing price:1290.35


XAU London Gold - 金价尚未突破千三关口

金价周四持稳，美元受美国明年升息预期减弱拖累续跌。周三美元录得五个月来的最大单日跌幅，因美国联邦储备理事会(FED)发布的会议记录显示，“许多决策者”担心通胀在比预期更长的时间内保持在2%的目标之下。周四，美元续跌，为美元计价的黄金构成支撑，因对非美国投资者来说黄金更便宜。

伦敦黄金周三升见1294.68美元，但至今仍未能成功挑战1300关口。从技术图表可见，现阶段金价正陷入三角型态的末段区域，至今下底及上顶分别位于1273and1294美元，上望较大目标先为10月中旬高位1306水平，随后较大阻力则预估为1313and100Monthly average line1336美元。下方支持回看1278and1266Horizontal.

London Gold11month24day
Predicting early wave amplitude:1284- 1297
Resistance level:1304 – 1313
Support bit:1278 – 1266

SPDR Gold TrustGold holdings:
11month1Day -849.59ton
11month2Day -846.04ton
11month3Day -845.75ton
11month6Day -845.46ton
11month7Day -844.27ton
11month8Day -843.09ton
11month9Day -843.09ton
11month10Day -843.09ton
11month13Day -843.39ton
11month14Day -843.39ton
11month15Day -843.39ton
11month16Day -843.39ton
11month17Day -843.39ton
11month20Day -843.39ton
11month21Day -843.39ton
11month22Day -843.39ton
11month23Day -843.39ton

12Monthly goldfuturesDue date:12month27day
12Monthly goldoptionDue date:11month27day

Global Official Gold Reserve:
(Data source: World Gold Council(WGC), updated on2017year11month2day)

Global:33499.6ton
U.S.A(1)：8133.5ton
Germany(2)：3373.7ton
IMF(3)：2814.0ton
Italy(4)：2451.8ton
France(5)：2435.9ton
China(6)：1842.6ton
Russia(7)：1778.9ton
Switzerland(8)：1040.0ton
Japan(9)：765.2ton
Netherlands(10)：612.5ton

European Central Bank(12)：504.8ton
britain(17)：310.3ton
Hong Kong(92)：2.1ton



XAG London Silver - 银价续陷横盘

伦敦白银方面，银价近月处于窄幅区间运行，顶部大致位于17.30水平，底部约于16.50。此外，一延伸自今年七月的上升趋向线则位于16.85美元，视为较近支持依据，需留意若跌破此区或有着初步下试倾向，较大支持见于16.30and16.00美元。至于向上延伸较大阻力则料为17.70and18.10USD.
      
London Silver11month24day
Predicting early wave amplitude:16.80 – 17.30
Resistance level:17.70 – 18.10
Support bit:16.30 – 16.00

iShares Silver TrustSilver holdings:
11month1Day - 9926.85ton
11month2Day - 9922.58ton
11month3Day - 9922.58ton
11month6Day - 9922.58ton
11month7Day - 9893.21ton
11month8Day - 9893.21ton
11month9Day - 9893.21ton
11month10Day - 9893.21ton
11month13Day - 9893.21ton
11month14Day - 9893.21ton
11month15Day - 9893.21ton
11month16Day - 9893.21ton
11month17Day - 9893.21ton
11month20Day - 9893.21ton
11month21Day - 9893.21ton
11month22Day - 9893.21ton
11month23Day - 9893.21ton



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Emperor Financial Group Zongheng Huihai Analysis Department
(The above column content is the author's personal professional opinions and is sincerely for readers' reference; I would like to remind readers that financial market volatility is unpredictable and they must be cautious of risks)