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Market Review
在周一的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈低位反弹的走势,美元指数最高上涨到92.93, 最低下跌到92.50, closing at92.91。欧美最高上涨到1.19610,最低下跌到1.18960, closing at1.18980。
周一金融市场走势大逆转,美元指数自两个月低位强势反弹,非美货币与现货gold则自日内稍早触及的高位迅速回撤。周一公布的美国新屋销售数据意外攀升至10年高位,令美元受到提振。此外,在本周的一连串重磅风险事件之前投资者对于持续压低美元持谨慎态度也使得美元触底反弹。
因全国需求强劲,美国10月新屋销售意外上升,创下10年来最高水准。美国商务部周一公布,经季节调整后的10月新屋销售年化月率增长6.2%, up to68.5万户。这是自2007year10月以来的最高水平,9月小幅下修正66.5Ten thousand households.
新屋销售已经连续三个月增长。再加上上个月新建房屋和成屋销售的增加,表明楼市在今年大部分时间里都在原地踏步之后可能会重拾动能。待售房屋、熟练工人和合适建筑用地的短缺抑制了房市的发展。华尔街日报(博客,微博)点评称,继9月新屋销售总数年化数据录得增长后,10月份数据进一步上升,表明新屋需求增长强劲且库存开始缩减。东北部与中西部地区新屋销售量增加是10月份数据获得增长的主要推动力。
从技术上来看,美指周一下跌在92.50之上企稳,反弹受阻在93.00之下,收盘在92.91,意味着美元短线回调整理以后仍然有向上反弹的空间。如果美指今天下跌在92.65之上受到brace,后市反弹的目标将会指向93.05—93.20。如果美指今天回落跌破92.50的话,汇价有望继续下跌到92.35之上企稳,然后出现反弹行情。若汇价失守92.35的话,后市继续下跌到91.90—92.00就是时间的问题了。今天美指短线阻力在93.00—93.05Short term important resistance93.15—93.20。今天美指短线bracestay92.60—92.65,短线重要bracestay92.35—92.40。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in93.20—92.65Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.19400---1.18600Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.33600---1.32700Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.98400---0.97900区间下限买入,有效破位300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in112.000---110.700Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.75350---0.75650Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit350Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.28250---1.27050Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
Gold: can be found in1301.00—1280.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银:可以在17.150—16.850Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 07:30 2017yearFOMC票委卡什卡利在威诺纳州立大学主办的一场活动上参加问答环节
② 08:00 纽约联储主席杜德利参加题为“美国经济:危机后的10年”讨论会
③ 15:00 Germany10月出口物价指数月率
④ 20:00 Germany12monthGfkConsumer confidence index
⑤ 22:00 U.S.A9monthFHFAMonthly rate of housing price index, United States9monthS& /CS20Annual rate of housing price index in major cities
⑥ 22:15 纽约联储主席杜德利在一场会议上致欢迎词
⑦ 22:45 美国参议院金融委员会就提名鲍威尔担任美联储主席举行听证会
⑧ 23:00 U.S.A11Monthly Consultation Chamber of Commerce Consumer Confidence Index, United States11Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
⑨ 23:15 2017yearFOMC票委哈克在该联储主办的一场会议上发表讲话
10 The next day05:30 From the United States to11month24Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock |
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