NFX 品汇国际：美元继续破位下跌看好非美多头

Market Review
　　在上周五的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈破位下跌的走势，美元指数最高上涨到93.25, 最低下跌到92.68, closing at92.78。欧美最高上涨到1.19440，最低下跌到1.18370, closing at1.19270。
　　上周五指数处于守势，空头摩拳擦掌将美指击落至93关口下方，多头遭遇名副其实的黑色星期五。在美元指数保持低迷态势之际，以欧元和英镑为首的非美货币以及美股则迎来狂欢日，其中欧元/美元一举击穿1.19关口。上周五公布的美国制造业和服务业PMI数据令人失望，其中11Monthly comprehensivePMIThe index fell to5The low point for months.
　　欧洲央行上周四公布的会议纪要显示，决策者们普遍同意延长QE，但会减少购债规模。不过德国政局的发展为欧元带来支撑，默克尔看似有望和德国社民党在组建联合政府方面达成一致。此外，市场将欧盟高层讲话解读为有利于英国脱欧谈判，这为英镑提供助力，英镑兑美元升至10month2The highest ever.
从技术上来看,美指上周五反弹受阻在93.之下，跌破93.00整数关口的brace，在（91.01—95.15）这个上涨区间的61.8回撤位置之上企稳。收盘在92.78,意味着美元短线反弹阻力仍然沉重，但继续大幅下跌的可能也同样降低。如果美指今天下跌在92.55之上受到支持，后市反弹的目标将会指向92.90—93.10。如果美指今天回落跌破92.55的话，汇价有望继续下跌到92.30之上企稳，然后出现反弹行情。若汇价失守92.30的话，后市继续下跌到91.90—92.00就是时间的问题了。今天美指短线阻力在92.85—92.90Short term important resistance93.10—93.15。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in93.15—92.55Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit25Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.19700---1.18600Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.33700---1.32800Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.98400---0.97600区间下限买入，有效破位300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in111.950---111.250Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.76400---0.75900Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit250Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.27700---1.26600Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1296.00—1285.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银：可以在17.150—16.850Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 23:00 U.S.A10Annualized total monthly sales of new homes
② 23:30 U.S.A11Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for the Month