Vantage FXWanzhi: Euro to USD11month14Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

　　三菱日联：
　　短线欧元料于1.14-1.18区间交投。若欧元兑美元持续持稳于关键技术支撑位1.15上方，那么深跌的风险将降低，于当前水平持中性立场，短线料于1.14-1.18区间交投。
　　花旗银行：
　　欧元兑美元到2019year12月或升至1.2600。欧元兑美元到2019year12月或升至1.2600，2015year5Month to2017year6月期间形成的1.05-1.15区间目前变成了三重底部，预计到2019年年中汇价将指向1.25-1.28目标水平。支撑欧元的因素包括：欧元实际有效汇率水平仍处于低位水平，欧元区经常帐盈余规模巨大，全球资金继续流入欧洲股市，欧元区周期性复苏高于预期，欧洲央行政策前景转向收紧。
　　北欧联合银行：
　　从利差和仓位角度对欧元/美元的前景表现进行分析，认为如果2periodxCcy基准掉期进一步扩宽10个基点，上述走势意味着欧元/USD in11月末将交投在1.15下方。当前欧元多头仓位减半意味着可能会缓慢跌向1.12水平。欧元/美元的下行趋势仍是不变的，但是如果风险情绪足够疲弱，可能会在1.1750附近得到新的做空机会。
　　Vantage FX万致观点：
　　

EUR/USD：

周一欧元持续企稳于

1.1600上方。从技术形态上看，目前欧元兑美元

虽仍受到

20日均线压制，但下跌动能暂缓，短期1.1600仍将是重要的支撑位。短线动能有所转强，日内短线多单可参与。

Upper pressure

1.1700, lower support1.1620。

　　Event discussion:

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Time Importance Index Content Pre Value(Before correction)Detailed explanation of predicted value published values

03:00U.S.A10月政府预算(USD100mn)-458-500-630
20:45Last week in the United StatesICSC-Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales(Compared to last week)(to1111)0.3%Waiting
Last week in the United StatesICSC-Goldman Sachs Chain Store Sales(the annual rate)(to1111)3.6%Waiting
21:30U.S.A10Monthly Producer Price Index(the annual rate)2.6%2.4%Waiting
21:30U.S.A10Monthly Core Producer Price Index(the annual rate)2.2%2.3%Waiting
U.S.A10Monthly Core Producer Price Index(Monthly rate)0.4%0.2%Waiting
U.S.A10Monthly Producer Price Index(Monthly rate)0.4%0.1%Waiting
21:55Last week's Red Book commercial retail sales in the United States(the annual rate)(to1111)2.6%Waiting
Last week's Red Book commercial retail sales in the United States(Monthly rate)(to1111)-1.0%Waiting答卷有礼！做“烤”卷，领金秋大礼包！还等什么呢？（www.vantagefx.com.cn/huodong/jinqiug2017yiguanzhu/）
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