NFX 品汇国际：美元反弹未尽，镑美仍有下跌空间

Market Review
在周一的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈小幅震荡整理的走势，美元指数最高上涨到94.64, 最低下跌到94.40, closing at94.49。欧美最高上涨到1.16760，最低下跌到1.16380, closing at1.16660。
　　周一美元震荡走高，日内最高升至94.64，缘于美国国债收益率上周劲涨的支撑。上周，美元指数录得四周以来最大单周跌幅，因税改的不确定性加剧。
　　本周美国将公布消费者物价指数、零售销售等重磅经济数据；美联储一众官员将发表讲话；此外税改讨论也是市场关注的焦点。
　　周一外汇市场最大的波动来自于英镑：英镑/美元大幅下挫超过100点，最低跌至1.30600。英国星期日泰晤士报周末报导，来自保守党的40名议员同意签署针对她的不信任函。这距离触发党内领导权争夺还差八票。若触发这一机制，梅可能会被迫下台，被另一名保守党成员取代。尽管如此，瑞士信贷、法国农业信贷，以及瑞银集团等三大投行此时却在唱多英镑。至于未来英美的走势一方面取决于英国退欧谈判的进展，另一方面与英国央行后续的利率政策有关。
从技术上来看,美指周一反弹受阻在5、10日之下，下跌在前低94.40之上受到brace。收盘在94.49,意味着美元短线反弹的可能较大。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in94.75—94.35Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit15Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.16800---1.16200Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit250Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.31750---1.30550Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find1.00100---0.99300区间上限卖出，有效破位250Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in114.000---113.300Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.76550---0.75850Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.27800---1.26900Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1282.00—1275.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit3USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
　　白银：可以在17.150—16.850Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.100USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 15:00 德国第三季度未季调GDP年率初值、德国10monthCPIMonthly rate final value
② 16:05 2017yearFOMC票委、芝加哥联储主席埃文斯在欧洲央行沟通会议上发表演讲
③ 17:00 IEAMonthly announcementcrude oil市场报告
④ 17:30 britain10monthCPIMonthly rate, UK10Monthly Retail Price Index Monthly Rate
⑤ 18:00 Germany, Eurozone11monthZEW经济景气指数、欧元区第三季度GDPAnnual rate correction value
⑥ 18:00 eurozone9月工业产出月率、美联储主席耶伦、欧洲央行行长德拉基、英国央行行长卡尼、日本央行行长黑田东彦将就“央行沟通的挑战和机遇”进行讨论
⑦ 19:00 U.S.A10monthNFIBSmall Business Confidence Index
⑧ 21:30 U.S.A10monthPPIMonthly rate
⑨ The next day05:30 From the United States to11month10Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory