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NFX 品汇国际:美税改遇阻,非美纷纷揭竿而起

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Market Review
  在周四的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈较大幅度下跌的走势,美元指数最高上涨到94.96, 最低下跌到94.42, closing at94.45。欧美最高上涨到1.16550,最低下跌到1.15860, closing at1.16470
  美元指数仍维持跌势但盘中震荡加剧,在美国参议院公布税改议案之前市场交投谨慎。有消息称,参议院改革法案中的税率“结构”将与众议院的计划有所不同。减税措施的拖延或拟议中的改革被减码的可能性,都有可能对美元不利。在美元保持低迷之际,非美货币纷纷揭竿而起。
  高盛认为,税改进入最难啃的阶段,不过大概率明年一季度完成。瑞银此前就曾指出,不管是在众议院还是参议院,要获得足够的票数支持都很困难。近日,税改计划又出“幺蛾子”,美元多头可谓是突然遭到当头一棒。减税实施若有推迟或搁浅的可能都将不利于美元。
从技术上来看,美指周四反弹受阻在95.00之下,下跌在94.40之上受到brace。收盘在94.45,意味着美元短线反弹后有继续走弱的趋势。 
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in94.80—94.25Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.16750---1.16050Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.31850---1.31050Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit350Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.99900---0.99000区间上限卖出,有效破位400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in113.850---112.850Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.77200---0.76600Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.27200---1.26400Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
  gold: Can be found in the1291.00—1282.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
白银:可以在17.150—16.900Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.15USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
(因退伍军人节,美国债市暂停交易,股市及其他资本市场正常开放)
① 08:30 澳洲联储公布货币政策声明稿
② 15:45 France9Monthly industrial output rate
③ 17:30 britain9Monthly industrial output rate, UK9月制造业产出月率、英国9Commodity Trade Account after Monthly Adjustment
④ 23:00 U.S.A11Initial monthly University of Michigan consumer confidence index
⑤ The next day02:00 From the United States to11month10Total number of oil drilling in the current week
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